LNG

IEEFA Research

IEEFA: Gas power plants assuming a constant capacity factor are being financially overvalued

IEEFA: Gas power plants assuming a constant capacity factor are being financially overvalued

Investors beware, capacity factor trends and LCOE analysis show gas-fired power plants likely to be stranded assets into the future

24 June 2021 (IEEFA Australia): The Australian government may be relying on inaccurate financial assumptions for its gas-fired recovery as most gas- and coal-fired power plants in Australia, the UK, the U.S. and China are being operated less and less – what’s called a declining capacity factor, finds a new report by the Institute for […]

IEEFA: New power and energy master plan must be designed in Bangladesh’s best interests, not Japan’s

IEEFA: New power and energy master plan must be designed in Bangladesh’s best interests, not Japan’s

JICA must deliver a low or zero emissions plan as promised, not fund Matarbari 2 coal plant

24 May 2021 (IEEFA Bangladesh): Clear understandings from the Bangladesh government’s recently released 8th Five-Year Plan must be incorporated into the new energy and power master plan currently under development by the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) to drive zero carbon transformation and financial sustainability in the energy system, finds a new report from the […]

IEEFA: Vietnam’s PDP8 delay is an opportunity to unlock more cost-effective renewable energy

IEEFA: Vietnam’s PDP8 delay is an opportunity to unlock more cost-effective renewable energy

The key is to refine new strategies and improve market structures

13 May (IEEFA Vietnam):  Vietnam’s Power Development Master Plan for 2021-2030 with a vision to 2045 (PDP8), was expected to be signed off at the end of March during the last days of Prime Minister Nguyen Xuan Phuc’s administration, but it hit an unexpected delay. Rather than being a setback, however, this delay can be […]

IEEFA: LNG-to-power investors in the Philippines risk exposure to $14 billion in stranded assets

IEEFA: LNG-to-power investors in the Philippines risk exposure to $14 billion in stranded assets

High regulatory and financial uncertainty in the Philippines market

5 May 2021 (IEEFA Philippines):  The race to develop liquified natural gas (LNG) facilities in the Philippines has gone from a marathon to a sprint but potential LNG investors must proceed at their own risk, according to a new report from the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA). “Officials in the Philippines have […]

IEEFA: Emissions and Qatar are neglected risk factors in Woodside’s Scarborough project

IEEFA: Emissions and Qatar are neglected risk factors in Woodside’s Scarborough project

With ASX enforcing continuous disclosure provisions gas companies must release modelling on carbon price sensitivity

14 April 2021 (IEEFA Australia): Investors are in the dark about the financial implications of emissions from Woodside’s proposed Scarborough gas field in the offshore North West Shelf, Western Australia, as the company has yet to release its carbon price sensitivity modelling, finds a new report by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis […]

IEEFA: Santos’ Barossa gas field emissions create major risks for shareholders 

IEEFA: Santos’ Barossa gas field emissions create major risks for shareholders 

With export markets' changing expectations, investors and industry beware

31 March 2021 (IEEFA Australia): Santos’ proposed offshore Barossa gas field near Darwin, Northern Territory has the unfriendly tag of having more carbon dioxide than any gas currently made into LNG, finds a new report from the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA). The gas contains so much CO2 that most of it […]

IEEFA: There will be no smooth sailing for LNG investors in Vietnam 

IEEFA: There will be no smooth sailing for LNG investors in Vietnam 

Great enthusiasm will be met by regulatory, financing and market challenges

19 January 2020 (IEEFA Vietnam): Liquified natural gas (LNG) suppliers and gas power developers looking at making Vietnam an essential LNG market should not expect to replicate the success of renewable energy seen recently in the country, finds a new report by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA). Author Thu Vu, Energy […]

and January 19, 2021 Read More →
IEEFA: Nhiệt điện khí LNG không dễ để bùng nổ ở Việt Nam

IEEFA: Nhiệt điện khí LNG không dễ để bùng nổ ở Việt Nam

Rào cản chính sách, nguồn vốn và thị trường sẽ thử thách các nhà đầu tư

Ngày 19 tháng 1 năm 2021 (IEEFA Vietnam): Trong thời gian vừa qua, Việt Nam đã nhanh chóng nổi lên là một trong những thị trường nhập khẩu khí thiên nhiên hóa lỏng (LNG) cho phát điện tiềm năng nhất ở châu Á. Tuy nhiên, không dễ để điện khí LNG tạo ra bước nhảy […]

and January 19, 2021 Read More →
IEEFA: Over US$50 billion in gas power projects and LNG import facilities at risk of cancellation in Bangladesh, Pakistan and Vietnam

IEEFA: Over US$50 billion in gas power projects and LNG import facilities at risk of cancellation in Bangladesh, Pakistan and Vietnam

Pakistan and Bangladesh have already cancelled tenders for LNG imports

14 January 2020 (IEEFA): Emerging markets such as Vietnam, Pakistan and Bangladesh that are turning to liquefied natural gas (LNG) as a source of power are likely to be hit by higher and more volatile prices going forward, according to a new briefing note from the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA). Author […]

IEEFA: Canadian assessment of LNG ‘rising tide’ would drown balance sheets in red ink

IEEFA: Canadian assessment of LNG ‘rising tide’ would drown balance sheets in red ink

Hope springs eternal for Chinese demand but reality suggests bleak forecast for new projects

October 19, 2020 (IEEFA)— The Conference Board of Canada, an Ottawa-based research organization, has doubled down on a bad hand, according to an analysis by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis. The Conference Board’s report, A Rising Tide: The Economic Impact of B.C.’s Liquified Natural Gas Industry, claims an expansion of the British […]

More News and Commentary

IEEFA: Gas power plants assuming a constant capacity factor are being financially overvalued
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IEEFA: Gas power plants assuming a constant capacity factor are being financially overvalued

Investors beware, capacity factor trends and LCOE analysis show gas-fired power plants likely to be stranded assets into the future

24 June 2021 (IEEFA Australia): The Australian government may be relying on inaccurate financial assumptions for its gas-fired recovery as most gas- and coal-fired power plants in Australia, the UK, the U.S. and China are being operated less and less – what’s called a declining capacity factor, finds a new report by the Institute for […]

Japan pledges $10 billion for decarbonization projects in Asia

Reuters:  Japan on Monday pledged to offer $10 billion financial aid for decarbonisation projects in Asia, such as renewable energy, energy-saving and conversion to gas-fired power generation from coal-fired power to help with an energy transition. In a virtual meeting with ASEAN energy ministers, Japan’s Minister of Economy, Trade and Industry Hiroshi Kajiyama proposed various […]

June 21, 2021 Read More →

NSW study predicts possibility of coal jobs vanishing within 20 years

Sydney Morning Herald: Coal jobs would disappear entirely in NSW within 20 years if international demand shrinks, according to one of three scenarios about the future of the industry prepared for the government by the state’s Treasury Department. The other two scenarios predict that coal jobs will decline from the current level of about 22,000 […]

June 10, 2021 Read More →

IEEFA: New U.S. LNG export projects face quartet of stiff headwinds

Glut, rising costs, fickle demand and Qatar threaten U.S. LNG rebound

June 7, 2021 (IEEFA)—Like many businesses, the U.S. liquefied natural gas (LNG) industry spent most of 2020 in a state of financial quarantine. As COVID-19 spread through gas-importing nations in Europe and Asia, global LNG demand fell, prices plummeted—and major U.S. liquefaction facilities stood mostly idle for the summer, their capacity neither needed nor wanted. […]

IEEFA: It’s time for the Biden administration to champion renewable energy in the Philippines, not nuclear or fossil gas

Fossil gas and nuclear investments risk locking in costly, outdated infrastructure for the long-term

The United States has spent the past four years pushing expensive, unreliable energy infrastructure in the Philippines, rather than promoting cheap renewable technologies better suited for the Philippines market and its clean energy goals. The former Trump administration’s “energy dominance” agenda aimed to stimulate Southeast Asian demand for US fossil gas and nuclear exports as […]

Shell faces accelerated business overhaul in wake of Dutch court ruling

Wall Street Journal ($): To comply with a Dutch court order to cut carbon emissions, Royal Dutch Shell PLC may have to overhaul its business and cut its oil output faster than it had planned, analysts and investors said. Potential ways to curb emissions include selling assets, rethinking exploration spending and halting growth of its […]

May 28, 2021 Read More →

Japan establishes $10 billion investment and loan bank for ASEAN

Nikkei Asia ($): Japan is preparing to launch a new initiative aimed at helping the 10-member Association of Southeast Asian Nations cut greenhouse gas emissions and realize a decarbonized society. Tokyo will take the lead in compiling a road map to decarbonization, set up a public and private investment and loan facility of $10 billion, […]

May 28, 2021 Read More →
IEEFA: New power and energy master plan must be designed in Bangladesh’s best interests, not Japan’s
and

IEEFA: New power and energy master plan must be designed in Bangladesh’s best interests, not Japan’s

JICA must deliver a low or zero emissions plan as promised, not fund Matarbari 2 coal plant

24 May 2021 (IEEFA Bangladesh): Clear understandings from the Bangladesh government’s recently released 8th Five-Year Plan must be incorporated into the new energy and power master plan currently under development by the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) to drive zero carbon transformation and financial sustainability in the energy system, finds a new report from the […]

Qatar LNG production struggling to keep market share amid transition

Bloomberg ($): The world’s top exporter of liquefied natural gas is ramping up production dramatically and undercutting competitors in a bid to squeeze them out the market. Qatar is dropping prices and pushing ahead with a $29 billion project to boost its exports of the fuel by more than 50%, stymieing the prospects of new […]

May 21, 2021 Read More →

Wood Mackenzie: Uncertain fate for $14 trillion of oil, gas assets

Reuters ($): Global energy transition is creating uncertainty for an estimated $14 trillion worth of oil and gas assets that have long depended on an indefinite rise in demand to offset risks despite a pandemic boost this year, consultancy Wood Mackenzie said on Thursday. As the world recovers from the COVID-19 pandemic, oil and gas […]

May 21, 2021 Read More →