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Germany’s gas and hydrogen gamble

March 31, 2026
Ana Maria Jaller-Makarewicz, Arjun Flora, Alasdair Docherty, Kevin Leung, Jonathan Bruegel, Andrew Reid

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This two-part report series examines the risks at the core of Germany’s energy transition, focusing on its continued reliance on natural gas and its planned shift to hydrogen. The analysis highlights implications for energy security, infrastructure costs and long-term system reliability. 

The first report, “Germany’s gas dependence: An energy security risk”, analyses the country’s exposure to volatile gas markets and import dependence. It evaluates the technical and financial challenges of converting gas-fired power plants to hydrogen, the limitations of carbon capture and the potential impact on utilities’ credit profiles. 

The second study (to be published in April 2026) reveals why Germany should downsize its hydrogen ambitions to avoid jeopardising its energy security and overspending on infrastructure. 

Ana Maria Jaller-Makarewicz

Ana Maria Jaller-Makarewicz is the Lead Energy Analyst for IEEFA’s Europe team. Her research focuses on topics related to gas and LNG, as well as other relevant European energy issues.

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Arjun Flora

Arjun Flora previously held the role the role of Energy Finance Analyst on IEEFA's Europe team. Arjun coveredtopic areas relating to the energy transition in Europe, including power utilities, gas infrastructure, sustainable finance, renewable energy, energy markets and consumption trends.

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Alasdair Docherty

Alasdair Docherty is the Sustainable Finance & Data Analyst for IEEFA’s European team. His research predominantly covers asset management and equity markets in Europe.

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Kevin Leung

Kevin Leung is a Sustainable Finance Analyst, Debt Markets, Europe, at IEEFA. He has authored reports on topics relating to sustainable credits, transition finance and sustainable finance regulatory initiatives.

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Jonathan Bruegel

Jonathan Bruegel is a power sector analyst for IEEFA’s Europe team. He has worked more than 20 years in the energy sector and became an expert on power markets worldwide working for several power generation utilities.  

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Andrew Reid

Andrew Reid is a partner at NorthStone Advisers and a guest contributor at IEEFA Europe, providing research and editorial support to offshore related topics and reports.

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