By Tom Sanzillo —
The U.S. coal industry is going through a period of shrinkage that even some of its most stalwart leaders acknowledge.
Yet the National Mining Association in a presentation in November to the Department of Interior’s Office of Natural Resources Revenue seemed in deep denial about this reality. The industry has lost market share in the United States and will likely see further market erosion. The global export market for thermal coal, once considered the solution to declining U.S. coal-company revenues, is weakening as it becomes clearer that Chinese and Indian demand for coal probably won’t continue to grow at record levels.
Meantime, industry watchers, like Platts, have noted an “export or die” mentality persisting across much of the industry. This view ignores the possibility of more balanced solutions as to how the U.S. coal industry (and perhaps the global coal industry) might adjust to the new energy economy.
But make no mistake: Change is here. And its presence is harsh, creating bankruptcies, layoffs, mine closings, distressed sales and bad news for investors. Change is also taking place at the policy level. One step toward a coal industry better rooted in reality would be to close a government loophole that lets coal companies avoid paying royalties on federal coal exported from the Powder River Basin. By law, the U.S. government—as the owner of the coal—is supposed to get a 12.5 percent royalty payment on all coal sold off federal coal reserves. The federal loophole lets the companies get around that.
The good news is that the loophole, as we speak, is being reviewed in Washington.
Beyond the basic fairness issues it raises, here are five good business or national-security reasons the loophole should be closed:
Doing way with the royalty waiver would be fiscally rational, in the best interest of national energy security, and would acknowledge the real-world financial condition of the coal industry.
Tom Sanzillo is IEEFA’s director of finance.