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Major oil companies’ ongoing struggle to pay shareholders out of cash flows from operations accelerates in dismal second quarter

August 01, 2020
Clark Williams-Derry and Tom Sanzillo and Kathy Hipple
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Key Findings

ExxonMobil, Shell, Chevron, Total and BP paid more to shareholders than they generated from operations

In Q2 2020, oil majors wrote down asset values, slashed capital spending

Overview

The second quarter financial results for the five global oil supermajors— ExxonMobil, Royal Dutch Shell (Shell), BP, Chevron and Total—showcased an industry in distress. Revenues, earnings, and operating cash flows plunged across the board, as low prices and weak demand cut into sales of oil, gas, petrochemicals and refined products around the globe. Expectations for continued low prices forced Shell to write down the value of its assets by $16.8 billion,1 while BP, Total and Chevron took impairments of $11.7 billion, $8.1 billion and $4.8 billion, respectively.

Q2 2020 saw the onset of the global pandemic (COVID-19) and the playing out of a price war between Saudi Arabia and Russia. The financial impact from the pandemic, which severely curtailed demand, exacerbated existing oversupply conditions, and the price war pushed prices down to unprecedented levels. The benchmark Brent oil price hit $29 per barrel (bbl), and ExxonMobil posted realized prices averaging $21/bbl.

Collectively, the five companies slashed capital spending by almost 30 percent compared with the same quarter in 2019. But even with these cuts, free cash flow (defined as operating cash flows minus capital spending) plummeted, with ExxonMobil, Chevron, and Shell reporting negative free cash flows for the quarter. Shell responded to the cash crunch by trimming its dividend. Nonetheless, these companies accelerated their decade-long practice3 of paying shareholders more than they earned from their core business operations, distributing $16.9 billion more in dividends and share buybacks during the quarter than they generated in free cash flow. 

Since 2010, these companies have generated a total of $343 billion in free cash flows from operations, which fell far short of the $586 billion they’ve spent rewarding their shareholders. The companies plugged the $243 billion shortfall primarily through asset sales, cash drawdowns, and borrowing money from long-term debt markets.

Clark Williams-Derry

Clark Williams-Derry focuses on the finances North America’s oil, gas, and coal industries. His areas of expertise include: the long-term financial performance of North American oil & gas companies, particularly fracking-focused enterprises; company- and basin-specific studies of oil and gas production; U.S. LNG exports in the context of global markets; and U.S. and Canadian coal export projects.

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Tom Sanzillo

Tom Sanzillo is Director of Financial Analysis for IEEFA. He has produced influential studies on the oil, gas, petrochemical and coal sectors in the U.S. and internationally, including company and credit analyses, facility development, oil and gas reserves, stock and commodity market analysis, and public and private financial structures. He also examines such areas as community and shareholder activism, institutional investment, public subsidies and Puerto Rico’s energy economics.

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Kathy Hipple

Former IEEFA Financial Analyst Kathy Hipple is a founding partner of Noosphere Marketing and the finance professor at Bard’s MBA for Sustainability. She worked for 10 years with international institutional clients at Merrill Lynch and then served as CEO of Ambassador Media.

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