The utility industry, broadly speaking, has a checkered history on renewable energy development, often having fought state renewable energy portfolio standards, curtailed residential net energy metering for solar and brought into question the reliability of wind and solar.
But a new dynamic is at play now, especially around solar-plus-storage projects. Here, sharp and continued price declines have turned utilities, regardless of size or location, into market drivers—a shift with major implications for baseload power providers.
Northern Indiana Public Service Company’s recent decision to pursue the phase-out of its coal-fired generation over the next 10 years demonstrates how the economics of solar-plus-storage have changed. NIPSCO serves some 466,000 customers in the northern third of the state and like other Indiana utilities is heavily reliant on coal for its electricity needs, currently getting more than 60% of its generation from its two coal plants.
When it solicited bids as part of its most recent integrated resource planning process for future power supply needs, NIPSCO received some eye-opening proposals that convinced its managers that change was both possible and economic. In its preferred resource plan released this past October, NIPSCO proposed adding 1,145 megawatts (MW) of solar and solar-plus-storage by 2023, which would push its renewable generation well above 50% and its coal-fired power capacity down to 17%.
NIPSCO is no anomaly. In January, Hawaiian Electric asked state regulators to approve seven contracts for a total of 262MW of solar generation and 1,048 megawatt-hours of companion storage. Six of the seven proposals will deliver electricity to consumers at or below $0.10 per kilowatt-hour, a big reduction over the cost of fossil fuel generation on the island, which averages about $0.15/kWh.
It is not just the economics that set the Hawaiian Electric example apart, it is how the contracts are structured. For example, in its contract submission with AES, which involves a 30MW solar/120MW storage facility on the big island of Hawaii, the utility outlines a potentially groundbreaking power purchase agreement.
Under the terms of this PPA, AES will receive a lump sum from Hawaiian Electric every month based on the facility’s energy potential and availability instead of being paid for every kilowatt-hour delivered. This arrangement, which Hawaiian Electric is calling a renewable dispatchable generation PPA, gives AES payment certainty and eliminates the threat of curtailment while allowing the utility to manage the facility. It’s a win for both parties.
The structure of the deal, which was proposed by AES, serves—like the NIPSCO example—as another marker development: Solar-plus-storage is not a one-size-fits-all application, and it can be tailored to specific market conditions and corporate needs, as the following examples illustrate.
Every new project like these that comes online highlights the broad potential of solar-plus-storage and chips away at the fossil industry narrative that renewable energy isn’t reliable or cost-effective. Clearly, the utility industry has a different perspective, and it is not just talking the talk, it is walking it too.
Dennis Wamsted is an IEEFA editor.
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