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Bangladesh power review: Overcapacity, capacity payments, subsidies and tariffs are set to rise even faster

May 19, 2020
Simon Nicholas and Sara Jane Ahmed
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Key Findings

Bangladesh's power system is headed for financial disaster due to overcapacity in coal and LNG power.

Investments in renewable energy and grid are needed to meet lower-than-expected demand slowed further by COVID-19.

Executive Summary

Bangladesh’s current plan to increase power capacity, based on a switch to expensive imported coal and LNG, is putting the country on course for deeper financial stress in the power system, similar to the strains already emerging in other countries. The Covid-19 pandemic will make this situation even worse.

Comparing IEEFA’s power demand forecast for Bangladesh to the planned capacity additions envisaged in the Revisited Power System Master Plan 2016 (PSMP) shows that the nation is on course to build far more capacity than it will need.

Please view full report PDF for references and sources.

Simon Nicholas

Simon Nicholas is IEEFA’s Lead Analyst for the global steel sector, as well as Asian seaborne thermal and coking coal markets.

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Sara Jane Ahmed

Sara Ahmed is founder of the Financial Futures Center and an advisor to the Vulnerable 20 Group of Finance Ministers (V20) of the Climate Vulnerable Forum (CVF).

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