The U.S. coal industry is going through a period of shrinkage that even some of its most stalwart leaders acknowledge.
Yet the National Mining Association, in a presentation to the Office of Natural Resources Revenues last month seemed in deep denial about this reality. The industry is fast losing market share in the United States and will likely see further market erosion. The global thermal export market, once considered the solution to declining U.S. coal-company revenues, is weakening as it becomes clearer that Chinese and Indian demand for coal probably won’t continue to grow at record levels.
Meantime, industry watchers, like Platts, have noted an “export or die” mentality persisting across much of the industry. This view ignores the possibility of more balanced solutions as to how the U.S. coal industry (and perhaps the global coal industry) might adjust to the new energy economy.
But make no mistake: Change will come, and it may end up being imposed by policy choices and harsh consequences wrought by bankruptcies and distressed sales of coal companies.
One step toward a coal industry better rooted in reality would be to close a government loophole that lets coal companies avoid paying royalties on coal mined on federal lands and then sold for export. The U.S. government owns large coal reserves in the Powder River Basin, generally located in Wyoming and Montana, which are leased to private coal companies. By law, the U.S. government is supposed to get a 12.5 percent royalty payment on all coal sold off federal coal reserves. The export loophole lets the companies get around that.
The good news is that the loophole, as we speak, is being reviewed in Washington.
Beyond the basic fairness issues it raises, here are five good business or national-security reasons the loophole should be closed:
Doing away with the royalty waiver would be fiscally rational and in the best interest of national energy security, and it would acknowledge the real-world financial condition of the coal industry.
Tom Sanzillo is IEEFA’s director of finance.