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Submission on the Victorian Department of Energy, Environment and Climate Action’s Strategic Review of the Victorian Energy Upgrades (VEU) program

March 11, 2025
Amandine Denis-Ryan and Jay Gordon and Josh Runciman
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7 March 2025

To: Victorian Department of Energy, Environment and Climate Action
Re: Strategic Review of the Victorian Energy Upgrades (VEU) program


Thank you for the opportunity to provide feedback on the Victorian Department of Energy, Environment and Climate Action’s strategic review of the VEU program. 

Victoria faces a changing energy context, with fast-depleting local gas resources, gas prices rising faster than electricity prices, and increasingly variable costs and emissions intensity for electricity over time. As a result, while the core focus of the VEU program remains valid, IEEFA believes that some adjustments are needed to better reflect this changing context:

  • The biggest market trends that should shape the VEU program in the next five years are electrification, the increased value of demand flexibility, and upcoming gas supply challenges.
  • While a continued focus on emissions is appropriate, the purpose and metrics should be updated to reflect the value of demand flexibility, and the review should consider adding a secondary gas reduction target.
  • The VEU program should extend its product offering in electrification and demand flexibility, and restrain gas efficiency improvements.
  • The VEU review should consider at least partially removing additionality requirements on residential water heating and heating electrification.

Our full response is detailed in the following pages. Please do not hesitate to contact us to discuss any aspects of our submission further.

 

Kind regards,

Amandine Denis-Ryan, CEO, IEEFA Australia
Jay Gordon, Energy Finance Analyst, Australian Electricity, IEEFA
Joshua Runciman, Lead Analyst, Australian Gas, IEEFA

Amandine Denis-Ryan

Amandine Denis-Ryan is CEO of IEEFA's Australia team. Amandine is a recognized expert in net-zero emissions transitions across the economy and led the development of the first domestic net-zero emissions pathway for Australia and subsequent updates.

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Jay Gordon

Jay Gordon is an Energy Finance Analyst at IEEFA, focusing on the Australian electricity sector. He brings experience in modeling Australia’s energy system transition, including investigating the role of the electricity sector in helping the broader economy transition towards a net-zero future.

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Josh Runciman

Josh Runciman is IEEFA’s Lead Analyst for Australian Gas. His work focuses on key issues in Australia’s gas and LNG sector, including gas market policy.

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