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Shell’s latest LNG outlook underestimates barriers to demand growth in Asia
Shell’s 2024 Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) Outlook proves that the long-term investment case for LNG beyond 2040 is fading. Instead, the company is pinning its hopes on rapid demand growth in emerging markets and China’s industrial sector, which may never materialize. Critical barriers to LNG value chain financing are likely to constrain demand growth in South and Southeast Asian markets. Moreover, LNG is unlikely to provide baseload power generation in emerging Asia due to its high costs compared to other energy sources. Shell is banking on China’s industrial decarbonization to drive global LNG demand higher, but this overlooks Chinese policies designed to limit gas dependence. Under carbon neutral pathways, China’s industrial gas usage could peak and decline through 2060.
February 20, 2024
Sam Reynolds, Christopher Doleman
Insights
Shell acknowledges $14 billion price tag for petrochemical plant, more than double street estimates
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Abhishek Sinha, Tom Sanzillo, Suzanne Mattei...
Analysis
Shell's Pennsylvania petrochemical complex: Financial risks …
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Report
IEEFA U.S.: Shell Pennsylvania likely to be last hurrah for big …
Shell Pennsylvania likely to be last hurrah for big …
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Analysis
Oil supermajors’ trajectory towards renewables needs to scale up and speed up
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Clark Butler
Report
Major oil companies’ ongoing struggle to pay shareholders out of cash flows from operations accelerates in dismal second quarter
Supermajors ExxonMobil, Royal Dutch Shell (Shell), BP, Chevron and Total spent $16.9 billion more on …
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Clark Williams-Derry, Tom Sanzillo, Kathy Hipple...
Report
Killing blows for Driftwood LNG?
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Analysis
U.S. frackers slash capital investment to lowest level in over a decade
Facing low prices and weak demand, a cross-section of 33 shale-focused oil and gas producers cut their capital expenditures (capex) to their lowest level in more than a decade.
December 01, 2020
Kathy Hipple, Clark Williams-Derry, Tom Sanzillo...
Report
U.S.-Japan-Philippines Summit offers an opportunity to address false LNG narratives
The Biden administration’s temporary pause on permits for new LNG export facilities will likely be discussed at a trilateral summit of the U.S., Japan, and the Philippines.
April 08, 2024
Sam Reynolds, Christopher Doleman
Analysis
Beyond Their Means: Oil Majors Pay More to Shareholders Than They Earn by Selling Oil and Gas
"Deficit spending" widens as companies bridge cash gap with borrowing and asset sales.
April 01, 2020
Clark Williams-Derry, Tom Sanzillo, Kathy Hipple...
Report
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