IEEFA Research

IEEFA Australia: Adani Is Said to Seek Financing From a Chinese State-Owned Enterprise

'New Geopolitical Questions for an Already Highly Controversial Project'

Nov. 2, 2017 (IEEFA) — A Chinese government-owned enterprise is being courted as a new partner for Adani’s proposed Carmichael coal mine and rail project in northern Queensland, according to a research brief published today by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA). The deal being sought with state-owned China Machinery Engineering Corporation […]

November 2, 2017 Read More →

IEEFA Australia: Escalating Financial Risk in Adani’s Abbot Point Coal Terminal

Begging the Question as to Why the Government Would Lend Heavily to a Tax-Haven Scheme Controlled by a Foreign Billionaire

Oct. 2, 2017 (IEEFA) — New analysis by The Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA) finds that Adani’s Abbot Point Coal Terminal is excessively leveraged, promises negative shareholders equity, and runs the risk of becoming a stranded asset if Adani’s proposed Carmichael mine does not get the A$1 billion Australian taxpayer subsidy it […]

October 2, 2017 Read More →

NAIF Inadequate Project Assessment and Failure of Public Interest Test

Submission to Senate Inquiry into the Governance and Operation of the Northern Australia Infrastructure Facility

Our research in the context of Adani calls into question the project assessment and approval process of the Northern Australia Infrastructure Facility (NAIF) as it relates to a A$900 million loan request as well as the adequacy of the NAIF’s tests for risk appetite and for whether a project is in the public interest. Full […]

August 23, 2017 Read More →
IEEFA Australia: Hume Coal Proposal Will Be Left Behind as Energy Markets Move On

IEEFA Australia: Hume Coal Proposal Will Be Left Behind as Energy Markets Move On

New Coal Mine Makes Even Less Sense than It Did Last Year; Hume Will Find it Hard to Compete with Higher-Quality Coking Coal

Despite the significant increase in coking coal prices that began in late 2016, the proposed Hume Coal project in the Southern Highlands of New South Wales seems no more likely to proceed now than it did when IEEFA reviewed it ten months ago. Hume Coal, a subsidiary of South Korea’s largest steel maker POSCO, has […]

IEEFA Update: Adani’s ‘Go-Ahead’ on Australian Mega-Coal Mine Is a Stunt

‘This Proposal Is Still a Pipe Dream’; Announcement ‘Theatrics’ Mean Little

Commenting on reports that Adani Enterprises Ltd has given the final go-ahead on the Carmichael mine proposal in Australia, Tim Buckley, IEEFA’s director of energy finance studies, Australasia said today: “An internal investment decision for the Carmichael mine is very different to an externally legally binding financial close. This proposal is still a pipe dream.” […]

IEEFA Update: As Australia Fights a Domestic Gas Shortage, New Export Plants Are at Risk of Closure

IEEFA Update: As Australia Fights a Domestic Gas Shortage, New Export Plants Are at Risk of Closure

‘Fiddling Around and Allowing the Cartels to Fleece Consumers’

nJune 5, 2017 ( – The Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis today published a report detailing how a complex of expensive new liquefied natural gas plants on the east coast of Australia are struggling to stay open in the face of a global gas glut. The report—“Australia’s Export LNG Plants at Gladstone: The […]

IEEFA Update: An Increasingly Cursed Australian Coal Project

IEEFA Update: An Increasingly Cursed Australian Coal Project

Bad Financials, Weak Markets, Policy Headwinds, Social-License Issues, Transparency Questions, Climate Risk: The Many Afflictions Hobbling the Proposed Carmichael Mine

IEEFA has released an update today on Adani’s long-festering coal mine project in northern Queensland that plumbs the depths of the Indian conglomerate’s financials and finds them vastly insufficient for the supposed job at hand. Our report— “Adani: Remote Prospect: Carmichael Status Update 2017”—follows on previous work we’ve done around what would be the biggest new coal […]

IEEFA Report: Three Timely Takeaways on 2016 Global Energy Transformation

IEEFA Report: Three Timely Takeaways on 2016 Global Energy Transformation

An Acceleration to Renewables, Faster-Than-Expected Shifts Regionally and Nationally, Growing Risk for Investors Who Lag Behind

Three notable takeaways emerge from the rapid transformation of the global energy economy, as we detail in a new paper we published today as the landmark Paris Agreement officially goes into effect. The global transition to renewables is accelerating. Change is happening faster than expected. Those left behind in this transition face growing financial risk. […]

November 5, 2016 Read More →
IEEFA ‘Pipe Dream’ Report Questions Rationale for North East Gas Interconnector in Australia

IEEFA ‘Pipe Dream’ Report Questions Rationale for North East Gas Interconnector in Australia

A Financially Weak Pipeline Project Hampered by a Global Glut in Liquefied Natural Gas

We’re publishing a report today questioning the economics and financial footing of the proposed $800 million North East Gas Interconnector (NEGI) in Australia. The report—“Pipe Dreams: A Financial Analysis of the Northern Gas Pipeline”—also examines the implications of awarding an unregulated monopoly over the pipeline to Jemena, a Singaporean and Chinese government-owned company, via State […]

New IEEFA Report: ‘Sub-Critical Australia’ East Coast Grid Needs an Electricity Market Plan

SYDNEY 17 May 2016 ( – Australia’s east coast electricity market currently faces a disorderly transition resulting in the potential for black-outs and poor social and environmental outcomes, according to ‘Sub-Critical Australia,’ a new report released today by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA). According to the report, Australia’s National Energy Market […]

May 16, 2016 Read More →

More News and Commentary

Australian Solar Installations Set Record in 2017

Bloomberg: Australia, one of the world’s biggest users of rooftop solar panels, likely added the most new capacity on record last year as electricity users sought to ease escalating power bills. A preliminary estimate by Australia’s Clean Energy Regulator of 1.05 gigawatts installed last year would be a record for the country, the government body said in an […]

January 16, 2018 Read More →

Lanco Close to Escaping Disastrous Griffin Purchase

The West Australian: Indian group Lanco Infratech has escaped a $200m payment linked to its disastrous purchase of the Griffin coal mine as part of a confidential settlement of one of [Western Australia’s] biggest commercial court cases. The settlement late last year coincided with insolvency firm KordaMentha flagging a final distribution of about $80m to […]

January 12, 2018 Read More →

Tesla’s Aussie Success Paves Way For More Projects

Australia’s renewable energy sector responds to the success of South Australia’s Tesla lithium ion battery: South Australia will build the world’s largest solar thermal plant, and a Queensland wind farm may be the site of a new record-breaking battery. The Aurora solar plant in Port Augusta, SA, will begin construction this year. The $650 million, 150-megawatt […]

January 11, 2018 Read More →

Performance Of Tesla’s Australia Battery Has Been ‘Outstanding’

The Sydney Morning Herald: When it comes to hype, there is probably nobody as outlandish as US-based billionaire Elon Musk and his Tesla corporation. A…version of the hyperbole has been on show in Australia, following the installation late last year of a 100-megawatt lithium ion battery – the world’s largest. Musk famously offered to supply it […]

January 8, 2018 Read More →

Proposed Loan for Adani Mine, Rejected by Queensland Government, May Have Failed Financial Test Anyway

Australian Broadcasting Corporation: Adani’s bid for a $1 billion taxpayer-funded loan may have been doomed even before it was scuppered by Queensland’s Palaszczuk Government, the Productivity Commission has said. The miner’s proposed Galilee Basin rail line faced rejection by the Northern Australian Infrastructure Facility (NAIF) because it may have failed key hurdles, the commission’s latest […]

January 5, 2018 Read More →

IEEFA Update: One More Strike Against Adani’s Plans in Australia—India’s Two Largest Import-Coal Plants are in Severe Financial Distress

As Price of Renewables Goes Down, the Case for Import Coal Becomes Less and Less Viable

New developments in both the political and energy scene in India are increasing the possibility that Adani would be unable to export coal to India if it builds its proposed Carmichael mine in Australia’s Galilee Basin. India’s two largest import-coal power plants – Adani Power’s 4.6 GW Mundra plant and Tata Power’s own 4.0 GW […]

IEEFA Australia: More Wheels Fall Off the Adani Mega-Mine Train

Investors and Government Officials Distance Themselves From High-Risk Project

The Adani Group has bounced back time and again with its troubled Carmichael mine proposal, but a run of freshly negative news now puts the project in real doubt. Today the Downer Group, an Australian engineering and infrastructure firm, announced it had relinquished an A$2 billion non-binding letter of award on the project it issued […]

December 18, 2017 Read More →

Adani Cancels $1.5 Billion Contract on Australian Mine Project

Financial Times: Adani Group has cancelled a A$2bn (US$1.5bn) contract with a mining services company for work on its proposed Carmichael coal mine in Australia due to its failure to raise funds for the controversial project. The cancellation of the contract with Downer, an Australian company, on Monday is the latest challenge to hit the […]

December 18, 2017 Read More →

Australian Election Bodes Ill for Adani

The Wire: The Adani group’s chances of getting a $900 million (AUD) concessional government loan — crucial to its Carmichael coal mine project — are approximating close to zero as the Australian Labour Party (ALP) is set to form the government in Queensland — the north-eastern Australian state home to the proposed Adani coal mine. […]

December 11, 2017 Read More →

IEEFA Australia: Adani’s Bad Month

Few Financiers for a Project on the Ropes

The potential for Adani’s Carmichael coal mine proposal in northern Australia took a dramatic turn this week as one major Chinese bank after another ruled out financing the project. The news comes shortly after Queensland state’s Labor Party government promised to block a federal taxpayer-funded loan to Adani if re-elected—and odds are the party has […]

December 8, 2017 Read More →