Australia

IEEFA Research

IEEFA Australia: Hume Coal Proposal Will Be Left Behind as Energy Markets Move On

IEEFA Australia: Hume Coal Proposal Will Be Left Behind as Energy Markets Move On

New Coal Mine Makes Even Less Sense than It Did Last Year; Hume Will Find it Hard to Compete with Higher-Quality Coking Coal

Despite the significant increase in coking coal prices that began in late 2016, the proposed Hume Coal project in the Southern Highlands of New South Wales seems no more likely to proceed now than it did when IEEFA reviewed it ten months ago. Hume Coal, a subsidiary of South Korea’s largest steel maker POSCO, has […]

IEEFA Update: Adani’s ‘Go-Ahead’ on Australian Mega-Coal Mine Is a Stunt

‘This Proposal Is Still a Pipe Dream’; Announcement ‘Theatrics’ Mean Little

Commenting on reports that Adani Enterprises Ltd has given the final go-ahead on the Carmichael mine proposal in Australia, Tim Buckley, IEEFA’s director of energy finance studies, Australasia said today: “An internal investment decision for the Carmichael mine is very different to an externally legally binding financial close. This proposal is still a pipe dream.” […]

IEEFA Update: As Australia Fights a Domestic Gas Shortage, New Export Plants Are at Risk of Closure

IEEFA Update: As Australia Fights a Domestic Gas Shortage, New Export Plants Are at Risk of Closure

‘Fiddling Around and Allowing the Cartels to Fleece Consumers’

nJune 5, 2017 (IEEFA.org) – The Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis today published a report detailing how a complex of expensive new liquefied natural gas plants on the east coast of Australia are struggling to stay open in the face of a global gas glut. The report—“Australia’s Export LNG Plants at Gladstone: The […]

IEEFA Update: An Increasingly Cursed Australian Coal Project

IEEFA Update: An Increasingly Cursed Australian Coal Project

Bad Financials, Weak Markets, Policy Headwinds, Social-License Issues, Transparency Questions, Climate Risk: The Many Afflictions Hobbling the Proposed Carmichael Mine

update on Adani’s long-festering coal mine project in northern Queensland that plumbs the depths of the Indian conglomerate’s financials and finds them vastly insufficient for the supposed job at hand. Our report— “Adani: Remote Prospect: Carmichael Status Update 2017”—follows on previous work we’ve done around what would be the biggest new coal mine in the […]

IEEFA Report: Three Timely Takeaways on 2016 Global Energy Transformation

IEEFA Report: Three Timely Takeaways on 2016 Global Energy Transformation

An Acceleration to Renewables, Faster-Than-Expected Shifts Regionally and Nationally, Growing Risk for Investors Who Lag Behind

Three notable takeaways emerge from the rapid transformation of the global energy economy, as we detail in a new paper we published today as the landmark Paris Agreement officially goes into effect. The global transition to renewables is accelerating. Change is happening faster than expected. Those left behind in this transition face growing financial risk. […]

November 5, 2016 Read More →
IEEFA ‘Pipe Dream’ Report Questions Rationale for North East Gas Interconnector in Australia

IEEFA ‘Pipe Dream’ Report Questions Rationale for North East Gas Interconnector in Australia

A Financially Weak Pipeline Project Hampered by a Global Glut in Liquefied Natural Gas

We’re publishing a report today questioning the economics and financial footing of the proposed $800 million North East Gas Interconnector (NEGI) in Australia. The report—“Pipe Dreams: A Financial Analysis of the Northern Gas Pipeline”—also examines the implications of awarding an unregulated monopoly over the pipeline to Jemena, a Singaporean and Chinese government-owned company, via State […]

New IEEFA Report: ‘Sub-Critical Australia’ East Coast Grid Needs an Electricity Market Plan

SYDNEY 17 May 2016 (IEEFA.org) – Australia’s east coast electricity market currently faces a disorderly transition resulting in the potential for black-outs and poor social and environmental outcomes, according to ‘Sub-Critical Australia,’ a new report released today by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA). According to the report, Australia’s National Energy Market […]

May 16, 2016 Read More →
If Peabody Is to Recover, It Must Close More Mines

If Peabody Is to Recover, It Must Close More Mines

The World’s Biggest Private-Sector Coal Company’s Current Turnaround Strategy Won’t Work

Peabody Energy, the largest private-sector coal-mining company in the world, is out with a dismal review today of its 2015 performance. The metrics unto themselves are damning, and Peabody’s plan for turning things around is even worse. In a report we’ve just published (with the Seattle-based Sightline Institute)—“Peabody’s Strategies for Survival Ignore Market Realities and Risks […]

February 11, 2016 Read More →
Report: Wollongong Coal Ltd’s Russell Vale Coal Mine A Likely Stranded Asset

Report: Wollongong Coal Ltd’s Russell Vale Coal Mine A Likely Stranded Asset

Wollongong Coal Ltd’s Russell Vale Coal Mine A Likely Stranded Asset (pdf)

December 18, 2015 Read More →

Fact-Checking the Claim That Australian Coal Is Clean

Studiously Avoiding the Trend Toward a New Energy Economy

We’re seeing an increasing number of boastful assertions by Australian politicians that Australian coal is environmentally friendlier than other coal. It’s not true—and we’ve published a fact sheet here that gets into the weeds of it—but one illuminating comparison can be found when you stack Australian benchmark thermal coal up next to coal from Indonesia, […]

November 25, 2015 Read More →

More News and Commentary

Podcast: High Gas Prices Are Driving Up Australia’s Electricity Rates

2GB Radio, Sydney:   Bruce Robertson, an energy analyst with the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis talks to Michael McLaren for Josh Frydenberg’s call for Victoria and the Northern Territory to lift their gas exploration ban. Download the podcast:  Lift the Gas Ban in Victoria and Northern Territory

July 13, 2017 Read More →

Decisions to Curb Coal Use in South Korea, Japan and Taiwan Will Have Profound Effects on Australian Coal Export Market

Michael Slezak in the Guardian: As Australia mulls the building of its biggest-ever export thermal coal mine, its biggest foreign buyers look set to reduce their consumption, driving down the price of Australian coal, and the profitability of its mines. Japan, South Korea and Taiwan together buy about 30% of the world’s exported thermal coal, including 70% […]

July 12, 2017 Read More →

Australia Scales Down China Shenhua’s Expansion Plans

Rod McGuirk for the Associated Press: A state government said on Wednesday it would buy back most of a Chinese mining company’s coal exploration license for 262 million Australian dollars ($201 million) to help protect some of Australia’s most fertile farmland. The New South Wales state government said it would buy back 51.4 percent of […]

July 12, 2017 Read More →
IEEFA Australia: Hume Coal Proposal Will Be Left Behind as Energy Markets Move On

IEEFA Australia: Hume Coal Proposal Will Be Left Behind as Energy Markets Move On

New Coal Mine Makes Even Less Sense than It Did Last Year; Hume Will Find it Hard to Compete with Higher-Quality Coking Coal

Despite the significant increase in coking coal prices that began in late 2016, the proposed Hume Coal project in the Southern Highlands of New South Wales seems no more likely to proceed now than it did when IEEFA reviewed it ten months ago. Hume Coal, a subsidiary of South Korea’s largest steel maker POSCO, has […]

‘Gas Cartel’ Driving Gas Prices Up; Gouging Australian Public

Charis Chang for news.com.au: A cartel has gained control of Australia’s gas and is killing the economy, pushing prices up and sending businesses broke, one expert says. Australians are grappling with huge increases in electricity and gas bills, with one recycling business saying his electricity bill had increased from about $80,000 to $180,000 a month. […]

July 6, 2017 Read More →

Banks Aren’t Interested in Adani’s Plans for Queensland Mines

Kiran Stacey, Simon Mundy and Jamie Smyth for Financial Times: Gautam Adani, the Indian billionaire, is facing questions over the funding for the planned A$16.5bn coal mine in Australia weeks after his company gave the final go-ahead for the long-delayed scheme. Indian conglomerate Adani Group announced final approval for the huge Carmichael development on June […]

July 5, 2017 Read More →

IEEFA Op-Ed: Blind Faith in Fossil-Fuel Industries Will Strand Economies, Communities, Workers

Markets Continue to Outpace Retro Government Policies

What’s missing from Donald Trump’s economically ludicrous promise to revive failed Rust Belt industries in the U.S. is an honest discussion of the economic and technological transition that is rapidly unfolding. New industries are growing that have already created many millions of jobs around the world and that will provide clean energy to power the 21st […]

June 22, 2017 Read More →

Adani’s Australia Problem

Business Standard (India): Indian Energy Minister Piyush Goyal said the country already had enough coal without the Adani mine. “We don’t wish to import coal from anywhere in the world. We have sufficient coal capacity in our country,” Goyal told ANI. Goyal’s statements contrast with the Adani group’s stated objective of the project. The group […]

June 13, 2017 Read More →

IEEFA Australia: Adani’s ‘Pit-to-Plug Strategy’ Is Fraying at Both Ends

‘Defer, Delay and Pray’ Appear to Be the Unspoken New Watchwords for the Company That Would Build the Carmichael Coal Project

Gautam Adani, the chairman of the Indian conglomerate Adani Group, has long argued that the Carmichael coal proposal in the Galilee Basin of Australia is a key part of his company’s “integrated pit-to-plug strategy.” The Adani logic for the Carmichael project assumes that the traded price of seaborne thermal coal is irrelevant to the commercial […]

June 12, 2017 Read More →

Adani’s Financials on Australian Coal Project Are Falling Apart

Business Standard (India): Even as the Adani Group is gearing up to invest $16.5 billion in a coal mine project in Australia, previous investments by GVK Power & Infrastructure and Lanco Infratech in similar projects have resulted in financial mess, according to bankers and analysts. While GVK’s yet-to-be-developed mine would require investments of another $500 […]

June 9, 2017 Read More →