Australia

IEEFA Research

NAIF Inadequate Project Assessment and Failure of Public Interest Test

Submission to Senate Inquiry into the Governance and Operation of the Northern Australia Infrastructure Facility

Our research in the context of Adani calls into question the project assessment and approval process of the Northern Australia Infrastructure Facility (NAIF) as it relates to a A$900 million loan request as well as the adequacy of the NAIF’s tests for risk appetite and for whether a project is in the public interest. Full […]

August 23, 2017 Read More →
IEEFA Australia: Hume Coal Proposal Will Be Left Behind as Energy Markets Move On

IEEFA Australia: Hume Coal Proposal Will Be Left Behind as Energy Markets Move On

New Coal Mine Makes Even Less Sense than It Did Last Year; Hume Will Find it Hard to Compete with Higher-Quality Coking Coal

Despite the significant increase in coking coal prices that began in late 2016, the proposed Hume Coal project in the Southern Highlands of New South Wales seems no more likely to proceed now than it did when IEEFA reviewed it ten months ago. Hume Coal, a subsidiary of South Korea’s largest steel maker POSCO, has […]

IEEFA Update: Adani’s ‘Go-Ahead’ on Australian Mega-Coal Mine Is a Stunt

‘This Proposal Is Still a Pipe Dream’; Announcement ‘Theatrics’ Mean Little

Commenting on reports that Adani Enterprises Ltd has given the final go-ahead on the Carmichael mine proposal in Australia, Tim Buckley, IEEFA’s director of energy finance studies, Australasia said today: “An internal investment decision for the Carmichael mine is very different to an externally legally binding financial close. This proposal is still a pipe dream.” […]

IEEFA Update: As Australia Fights a Domestic Gas Shortage, New Export Plants Are at Risk of Closure

IEEFA Update: As Australia Fights a Domestic Gas Shortage, New Export Plants Are at Risk of Closure

‘Fiddling Around and Allowing the Cartels to Fleece Consumers’

nJune 5, 2017 (IEEFA.org) – The Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis today published a report detailing how a complex of expensive new liquefied natural gas plants on the east coast of Australia are struggling to stay open in the face of a global gas glut. The report—“Australia’s Export LNG Plants at Gladstone: The […]

IEEFA Update: An Increasingly Cursed Australian Coal Project

IEEFA Update: An Increasingly Cursed Australian Coal Project

Bad Financials, Weak Markets, Policy Headwinds, Social-License Issues, Transparency Questions, Climate Risk: The Many Afflictions Hobbling the Proposed Carmichael Mine

update on Adani’s long-festering coal mine project in northern Queensland that plumbs the depths of the Indian conglomerate’s financials and finds them vastly insufficient for the supposed job at hand. Our report— “Adani: Remote Prospect: Carmichael Status Update 2017”—follows on previous work we’ve done around what would be the biggest new coal mine in the […]

IEEFA Report: Three Timely Takeaways on 2016 Global Energy Transformation

IEEFA Report: Three Timely Takeaways on 2016 Global Energy Transformation

An Acceleration to Renewables, Faster-Than-Expected Shifts Regionally and Nationally, Growing Risk for Investors Who Lag Behind

Three notable takeaways emerge from the rapid transformation of the global energy economy, as we detail in a new paper we published today as the landmark Paris Agreement officially goes into effect. The global transition to renewables is accelerating. Change is happening faster than expected. Those left behind in this transition face growing financial risk. […]

November 5, 2016 Read More →
IEEFA ‘Pipe Dream’ Report Questions Rationale for North East Gas Interconnector in Australia

IEEFA ‘Pipe Dream’ Report Questions Rationale for North East Gas Interconnector in Australia

A Financially Weak Pipeline Project Hampered by a Global Glut in Liquefied Natural Gas

We’re publishing a report today questioning the economics and financial footing of the proposed $800 million North East Gas Interconnector (NEGI) in Australia. The report—“Pipe Dreams: A Financial Analysis of the Northern Gas Pipeline”—also examines the implications of awarding an unregulated monopoly over the pipeline to Jemena, a Singaporean and Chinese government-owned company, via State […]

New IEEFA Report: ‘Sub-Critical Australia’ East Coast Grid Needs an Electricity Market Plan

SYDNEY 17 May 2016 (IEEFA.org) – Australia’s east coast electricity market currently faces a disorderly transition resulting in the potential for black-outs and poor social and environmental outcomes, according to ‘Sub-Critical Australia,’ a new report released today by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA). According to the report, Australia’s National Energy Market […]

May 16, 2016 Read More →
If Peabody Is to Recover, It Must Close More Mines

If Peabody Is to Recover, It Must Close More Mines

The World’s Biggest Private-Sector Coal Company’s Current Turnaround Strategy Won’t Work

Peabody Energy, the largest private-sector coal-mining company in the world, is out with a dismal review today of its 2015 performance. The metrics unto themselves are damning, and Peabody’s plan for turning things around is even worse. In a report we’ve just published (with the Seattle-based Sightline Institute)—“Peabody’s Strategies for Survival Ignore Market Realities and Risks […]

February 11, 2016 Read More →
Report: Wollongong Coal Ltd’s Russell Vale Coal Mine A Likely Stranded Asset

Report: Wollongong Coal Ltd’s Russell Vale Coal Mine A Likely Stranded Asset

Wollongong Coal Ltd’s Russell Vale Coal Mine A Likely Stranded Asset (pdf)

December 18, 2015 Read More →

More News and Commentary

Australia’s Gas Cartel

ABC Australia: Battle lines have been drawn between the gas industry and its critics over whether allowing fracking to resume in the Northern Territory could help solve the east coast energy price crisis. The industry is using the idea of NT gas being a solution rather a problem to persuade the NT Government to lift […]

September 12, 2017 Read More →

IEEFA Australia: Adani Is in Scramble Mode

The Race to a Taxpayer-Funded Close Is On

As Adani gears up its political and media machine in a play to make it look like its proposed Carmichael mine in the Galilee Basin of Queensland is a go, it has a lot on the line. Much of its push for the project now is ego-driven—the company has invested enormous political capital in Carmichael, […]

September 8, 2017 Read More →

IEEFA Update: Renewables in Coal Country

Where Australian Mining Jobs Once Prevailed, a Wave of New-Energy Development Has Arrived

Defying the policy uncertainty that has held back utility-scale solar across most of the rest of Australia, renewables investment is gathering pace across Queensland, a region traditionally known as coal country. Collinsville, a North Queensland town with strong ties to coal, is already host to two solar projects: Edify Energy’s 70-megawatt Whitsunday Solar Farm and […]

September 5, 2017 Read More →

Sign of the Times: Yancoal Gets Few Takers

The Australian: Yancoal Australia’s $US2.35 billion ($3bn) equity raising has met with next to no interest from institutional and retail shareholders, leaving its underwriters and Chinese backers on the hook for almost the entire amount. Yancoal, which needed the cash to complete its acquisition of Rio Tinto’s Coal & Allied business in NSW, only attracted […]

August 30, 2017 Read More →

IEEFA Australia: Inadequate Transparency and Operational Processes Around A$900 Public Loan Proposal to Adani

Implicit Endorsement of Tax Havens in Northern Australia Infrastructure Facility’s Consideration; Weak Market Rationale for Project; ‘Not in the Wider Australian Public Interest’

Aug. 29, 2017 (IEEFA.org) — The Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis has submitted testimony to the Australian Senate noting serious deficiencies in how the Northern Australia Infrastructure Facility (NAIF) has managed its consideration of an A$900 million loan to subsidize construction of a rail link for the proposed Carmichael coal mine. IEEFA’s written testimony […]

August 29, 2017 Read More →

Australian Coal Industry ‘on Life Support’

The Guardian: For a glimpse into the future of coal power in Australia, go west. The country’s last major investment in coal-fired electricity was in Western Australia in 2009, when Colin Barnett’s state government announced a major refurbishment of the Muja AB station about 200km south of Perth, far from the gaze of the east […]

August 24, 2017 Read More →

NAIF Inadequate Project Assessment and Failure of Public Interest Test

Submission to Senate Inquiry into the Governance and Operation of the Northern Australia Infrastructure Facility

Our research in the context of Adani calls into question the project assessment and approval process of the Northern Australia Infrastructure Facility (NAIF) as it relates to a A$900 million loan request as well as the adequacy of the NAIF’s tests for risk appetite and for whether a project is in the public interest. Full […]

August 23, 2017 Read More →

Fraud Case Detail Emerges Around Owner of Proposed Mega-Mine in Australia

The Guardian: A global mining giant seeking public funds to develop one of the world’s largest coal mines in Australia has been accused of fraudulently siphoning hundreds of millions of dollars of borrowed money into overseas tax havens. Indian conglomerate the Adani Group is expecting a legal decision in the “near future” in connection with […]

August 16, 2017 Read More →

Australia Natural Gas Export Overbuild Is Collapsing

The Guardian: Australia’s natural gas export boom, which is causing soaring gas prices and pushing up carbon emissions, appears to be rapidly shedding value. Santos wiped more than $1bn off the value of its liquefied natural gas plant in Queensland on Tuesday, just a week after Origin announced a similar devaluation. The devaluations were predicted […]

August 15, 2017 Read More →
IEEFA Australia: The Odds Against Adani’s Mega-Mine Are Growing
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IEEFA Australia: The Odds Against Adani’s Mega-Mine Are Growing

Project Remains Unbankable and Cannot Proceed Without Government Subsidies

Last week’s news that Commonwealth Bank, Australia’s largest, has ruled out financing for the proposed Carmichael project because of the climate risk it comes with is but the latest in the long drip of events adding to the probability the mega-mine-and-rail complex will never be built. In fact our view has only hardened that Carmichael […]