Global Coal Markets

IEEFA Research

IEEFA Report: State-Owned Utility NTPC Takes a Lead Role in India’s Electricity Transition

IEEFA Report: State-Owned Utility NTPC Takes a Lead Role in India’s Electricity Transition

Country’s Largest Generation Company—Ranked Third Globally in Coal-Fired Capacity and Seventh in Generation—Emerges as Key Supporter of Government’s Renewable-Energy Initiative

May 25, 2017 (IEEFA.org) — The state-owned Indian utility NTPC is playing a key role in India’s push toward retooling its electricity-generation system, according to a new report by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA). The report—“NTPC as a Force in India’s Electricity Transition: Leading the Way Toward a New Energy Economy”—details how […]

IEEFA Update: An Increasingly Cursed Australian Coal Project

IEEFA Update: An Increasingly Cursed Australian Coal Project

Bad Financials, Weak Markets, Policy Headwinds, Social-License Issues, Transparency Questions, Climate Risk: The Many Afflictions Hobbling the Proposed Carmichael Mine

update on Adani’s long-festering coal mine project in northern Queensland that plumbs the depths of the Indian conglomerate’s financials and finds them vastly insufficient for the supposed job at hand. Our report— “Adani: Remote Prospect: Carmichael Status Update 2017”—follows on previous work we’ve done around what would be the biggest new coal mine in the […]

IEEFA Europe: Can Coal Power Hang On?

IEEFA Europe: Can Coal Power Hang On?

Investors May Not Be Eager to Absorb More Losses Like Those Seen in Recent Dutch Build-Outs

Investment in new coal-fired power plants appears off the agenda in Western Europe. Witness the astonishing write-down of brand-new assets in the Netherlands, where European utility giants RWE, Uniper, and Engie have drastically reduced their valuations of plants barely a year old (read the report we published this morning, “The Dutch Coal Mistake,” which concludes […]

November 30, 2016 Read More →
IEEFA Update: IEA, Still Behind the Curve, Nonetheless Indicates Rising Stranded-Asset Risk in Fossil-Fuel Holdings

IEEFA Update: IEA, Still Behind the Curve, Nonetheless Indicates Rising Stranded-Asset Risk in Fossil-Fuel Holdings

A Not-So-Distant Future in Which Thermal-Fired Electricity Generation Declines Precipitously

The International Energy Agency, out with its annual energy-markets forecast, “World Energy Outlook 2016,” remains behind the curve but not as far behind as it was. A history of IEA underestimation of technology change has been partially remedied in this new report, but the agency’s solar and wind forecasts can at best be described still […]

November 17, 2016 Read More →
IEEFA Report: Three Timely Takeaways on 2016 Global Energy Transformation

IEEFA Report: Three Timely Takeaways on 2016 Global Energy Transformation

An Acceleration to Renewables, Faster-Than-Expected Shifts Regionally and Nationally, Growing Risk for Investors Who Lag Behind

Three notable takeaways emerge from the rapid transformation of the global energy economy, as we detail in a new paper we published today as the landmark Paris Agreement officially goes into effect. The global transition to renewables is accelerating. Change is happening faster than expected. Those left behind in this transition face growing financial risk. […]

November 5, 2016 Read More →
IEEFA Europe: Blueprint for a Lignite Phase-Out in Germany

IEEFA Europe: Blueprint for a Lignite Phase-Out in Germany

Foundation-Based Approach to Closure and Clean-Up; New Czech Owners of Vattenfall Assets in Lausitz Can Afford to Foot the Bill; a Timeline That Helps Local Communities Prepare for Transition

The recent “sale” by the Swedish state-owned utility Vattenfall of its German lignite assets throws a harsh light on a dark paradox: the continued use of the world’s most carbon-intensive fuel by a country with some of the most ambitious targets to tackle climate change. The deal transfers a cluster of lignite mines and their […]

September 22, 2016 Read More →
The Federal Government’s Coal-Leasing Program Is Broken: Here’s How to Fix It

The Federal Government’s Coal-Leasing Program Is Broken: Here’s How to Fix It

Appoint a Price-Setting Commission; Ban Exports; Cancel Some Leases; Eliminate Self-Bonding; Mandate Set-Asides for Mine Clean-up and Miner Pensions; Require Twice-a-Year Audits; Assume Smaller Markets

It’s time for the U.S. to modernize how it manages its publicly owned coal reserves. That’s the essence of comments we’ve filed today with the Department of the Interior as it begins a review of its federal coal-leasing program in the Powder River Basin, a program that has been mismanaged for years at taxpayer expense […]

Coal Won’t Solve the Energy Poverty Problem

Coal Won’t Solve the Energy Poverty Problem

Times Have Changed; Old Electricity-Generation Models Don’t Work Anymore

Coal-fired electricity is no longer the economy builder its proponents say it is. Time was when coal in fact did contribute to growth in many economies, but times have changed. Today governments and private interests worldwide concede—even emphasize—the economic and environmental dysfunction of coal. We’ve just published an IEEFA Briefing Note (“Energy Poverty, Then and […]

March 3, 2016 Read More →
If Peabody Is to Recover, It Must Close More Mines

If Peabody Is to Recover, It Must Close More Mines

The World’s Biggest Private-Sector Coal Company’s Current Turnaround Strategy Won’t Work

Peabody Energy, the largest private-sector coal-mining company in the world, is out with a dismal review today of its 2015 performance. The metrics unto themselves are damning, and Peabody’s plan for turning things around is even worse. In a report we’ve just published (with the Seattle-based Sightline Institute)—“Peabody’s Strategies for Survival Ignore Market Realities and Risks […]

February 11, 2016 Read More →
Eight (8) Signs Now Is the Time to Invest in Energy Transformation

Eight (8) Signs Now Is the Time to Invest in Energy Transformation

Rapid Change Is Already Being Driven by New Policies and the Shifting Sands of Finance

Evidence continues to mount that the world is beyond peak coal consumption and that its appetite for thermal coal is waning. This trend has gathered remarkable momentum in 2015, as seen in sharp consumption declines in key coal markets. We’ve published a report today that explores recent developments around the world: “Carpe Diem: Eight Signs […]

and November 27, 2015 Read More →

More News and Commentary

India Utility Conglomerate Long-Associated With Coal Is Shifting Gears

Indo-Asia News Service: The state-owned conglomerate NTPC Ltd — long associated with coal-fired power generation — is poised to facilitate India’s bid to achieve its ambitious national renewable energy targets. This, at a time overseas investors are seeking more opportunities in the country’s renewable projects. “Despite its deep historical connection to coal-fired electricity generation technology, […]

May 26, 2017 Read More →
IEEFA Report: State-Owned Utility NTPC Takes a Lead Role in India’s Electricity Transition

IEEFA Report: State-Owned Utility NTPC Takes a Lead Role in India’s Electricity Transition

Country’s Largest Generation Company—Ranked Third Globally in Coal-Fired Capacity and Seventh in Generation—Emerges as Key Supporter of Government’s Renewable-Energy Initiative

May 25, 2017 (IEEFA.org) — The state-owned Indian utility NTPC is playing a key role in India’s push toward retooling its electricity-generation system, according to a new report by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA). The report—“NTPC as a Force in India’s Electricity Transition: Leading the Way Toward a New Energy Economy”—details how […]

IEEFA Australia: Adani Can’t Seem to Get the Public Subsidies It Requires for Its Carmichael Coal Project

Further Evidence That a Mine Proposal Is Unbankable

In saying that it has deferred its investment decision on its Australian Carmichael coal proposal because the Queensland Government hasn’t granted it yet another subsidy, Adani Enterprises is demonstrating once more that the project is unbankable. We’re not aware of a single private financial institution that has endorsed the proposal, which suggests to us that […]

May 23, 2017 Read More →
IEEFA Asia: South Korea’s Policy Shift Stands to Have an Out-Size Impact on Indonesian Coal Companies

IEEFA Asia: South Korea’s Policy Shift Stands to Have an Out-Size Impact on Indonesian Coal Companies

A Potential Blow to Pricing at a Time When Distressed Exporters Are Banking Heavily on New Growth

Moon Jae-in’s recent election as president of South Korea raises potentially serious ramifications for Indonesia’s coal exporters. Faced with growing unrest from an urban population affected by high levels of air pollution, Moon has promised to re-assess the construction of new coal power plants, close older ones and dramatically ramp up the country’s renewable energy […]

Report: The Biggest Investors in Coal?

SNL: A new report from InfluenceMap, a U.K.-based nonprofit that tracks climate and energy policy lobbying, shows the movement to divest from coal assets is still gaining steam. The study notes that while asset managers and owners representing over $5 trillion in value have made some kind of divestment pledge by the end of 2016, […]

May 22, 2017 Read More →

Coal Industry’s Assumptions ‘Can Be Rendered Nonsensical Very Quickly’ by Policy Change in China and India

Reuters: Coal exporters may be feeling more comfortable about their future as they see both reasonable demand from Asia’s top importers and prices which appear to be stabilising at levels that allow for decent profits. This renewed optimism was evident at this week’s Coaltrans Asia conference on the Indonesian resort island of Bali, where much […]

May 18, 2017 Read More →

IEEFA Asia: India’s Electricity-Sector Transformation Is Happening Now

Utility-Scale Solar Projects Continue to Attract Record Low Bids

The Indian energy market transformation is accelerating under Energy Minister Piyush Goyal’s leadership. The most recent and most persuasive evidence is the collapsing cost of solar electricity—a collapse that has gone beyond anyone’s expectations, and the results are in: solar has won. The global energy market implications are profound. Recent events have given manifest life […]

May 17, 2017 Read More →

On the Blogs: Coal-Fired Ultra Mega Power Project Canceled in India

SmarterInvestor.in: The government of Gujarat has dropped  a proposal for setting up a 4,000-Megawatt (Mw) coal-based ultra mega power project (UMPP). The current government under Vijay Rupani says there is surplus generation capacity and, instead of adding thermal power, wishes to focus for now on renewable power. The Gujarat State Electricity Corporation was to handle […]

May 12, 2017 Read More →

IEEFA Asia: Moon Jae-In’s Ascension in Seoul Is Another Blow to Asia’s Coal Industry

Policy Shift Stands to Halve the Long-Term Growth Rate of South Korean Coal Imports

Moon Jae-In’s election yesterday as president of South Korea holds potentially significant ramifications for global seaborne thermal coal markets. South Korea is Asia’s fourth-largest economy and the fourth-largest importer of coal globally, accounting for over 10 percent of world thermal coal import demand. As the only remaining growth market of significant size, it has long […]

May 10, 2017 Read More →

On the Blogs: Why the U.S. Coal-Export Dream Died

From PowerPastCoal.org: Back at the start of the coal exports fight in the Northwest in 2010, China was the “500-pound gorilla” in the debate regarding the viability of coal exports as an economic development strategy for Northwest communities.  Coal company executives, terminal backers, and industry consultants had relied on straight-line forecasts of growing Chinese coal […]

May 8, 2017 Read More →