IEEFA Research

IEEFA Australia: Adani Is Said to Seek Financing From a Chinese State-Owned Enterprise

'New Geopolitical Questions for an Already Highly Controversial Project'

Nov. 2, 2017 (IEEFA) — A Chinese government-owned enterprise is being courted as a new partner for Adani’s proposed Carmichael coal mine and rail project in northern Queensland, according to a research brief published today by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA). The deal being sought with state-owned China Machinery Engineering Corporation […]

November 2, 2017 Read More →

IEEFA Australia: Escalating Financial Risk in Adani’s Abbot Point Coal Terminal

Begging the Question as to Why the Government Would Lend Heavily to a Tax-Haven Scheme Controlled by a Foreign Billionaire

Oct. 2, 2017 (IEEFA) — New analysis by The Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA) finds that Adani’s Abbot Point Coal Terminal is excessively leveraged, promises negative shareholders equity, and runs the risk of becoming a stranded asset if Adani’s proposed Carmichael mine does not get the A$1 billion Australian taxpayer subsidy it […]

October 2, 2017 Read More →

NAIF Inadequate Project Assessment and Failure of Public Interest Test

Submission to Senate Inquiry into the Governance and Operation of the Northern Australia Infrastructure Facility

Our research in the context of Adani calls into question the project assessment and approval process of the Northern Australia Infrastructure Facility (NAIF) as it relates to a A$900 million loan request as well as the adequacy of the NAIF’s tests for risk appetite and for whether a project is in the public interest. Full […]

August 23, 2017 Read More →

IEEFA Update: Adani’s ‘Go-Ahead’ on Australian Mega-Coal Mine Is a Stunt

‘This Proposal Is Still a Pipe Dream’; Announcement ‘Theatrics’ Mean Little

Commenting on reports that Adani Enterprises Ltd has given the final go-ahead on the Carmichael mine proposal in Australia, Tim Buckley, IEEFA’s director of energy finance studies, Australasia said today: “An internal investment decision for the Carmichael mine is very different to an externally legally binding financial close. This proposal is still a pipe dream.” […]

IEEFA Update: An Increasingly Cursed Australian Coal Project

IEEFA Update: An Increasingly Cursed Australian Coal Project

Bad Financials, Weak Markets, Policy Headwinds, Social-License Issues, Transparency Questions, Climate Risk: The Many Afflictions Hobbling the Proposed Carmichael Mine

IEEFA has released an update today on Adani’s long-festering coal mine project in northern Queensland that plumbs the depths of the Indian conglomerate’s financials and finds them vastly insufficient for the supposed job at hand. Our report— “Adani: Remote Prospect: Carmichael Status Update 2017”—follows on previous work we’ve done around what would be the biggest new coal […]

Fact-Checking the Claim That Australian Coal Is Clean

Studiously Avoiding the Trend Toward a New Energy Economy

We’re seeing an increasing number of boastful assertions by Australian politicians that Australian coal is environmentally friendlier than other coal. It’s not true—and we’ve published a fact sheet here that gets into the weeds of it—but one illuminating comparison can be found when you stack Australian benchmark thermal coal up next to coal from Indonesia, […]

November 25, 2015 Read More →
US$100 Billion in New Renewable Investments in 2015 Power India’s Energy Transition

US$100 Billion in New Renewable Investments in 2015 Power India’s Energy Transition

Nov. 12, 2015 (IEEFA) — Investments worth more than US$100 billion over the past eight months are driving an unprecedented shift to renewable energy in India, according to a major new report from the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA). The report—India’s Electricity Sector Transformation—charts the accelerating influx of global capital into India […]

November 12, 2015 Read More →
India’s Fast-Moving Energy Transition: $100 Billion in Renewables Investments So Far This Year

India’s Fast-Moving Energy Transition: $100 Billion in Renewables Investments So Far This Year

A Crush of Deals With State-Owned Enterprises, Leading Power Companies, Billionaires, Major Firms and Utilities

Investments worth more than $100 billion over the past eight months are driving an unprecedented shift to renewable energy in India. The trend is detailed in a report we just posted—India’s Electricity Sector Transformation—that charts the accelerating influx of global capital into India as the country moves toward its goal of installing 175 gigawatts of […]

November 11, 2015 Read More →
New IEEFA Report – Adani: Remote Prospects

New IEEFA Report – Adani: Remote Prospects

Obstacles to Adani’s Project in Australia Have Only Grown: The Strategic ‘Moment’ for Coal Mining in the Galilee Basin Has Passed; Public Investment Is Ill-Advised; Markets Will Not Support an Unbankable Development

Almost two years ago we published a review in which we raised doubts about the Adani Group’s proposed Carmichael coal mine in the Galilee Basin of Australia and the associated rail and port infrastructure development. The mine would ship coal through the port at Abbot Point in the Great Barrier Reef. Today we’ve published an […]

September 15, 2015 Read More →
India’s Electricity-Sector Transformation

India’s Electricity-Sector Transformation

New IEEFA report- India’s energy transformation gathers momentum

10 August, 2015: India’s ‘seven horses of energy’ electricity sector transformation is gathering pace, with far-reaching ramifications for renewable energy development and the structural decline of seaborne thermal coal, according to a new report released today by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA) and Indian energy analysis firm, Equitorials. The report – […]

August 10, 2015 Read More →

More News and Commentary

Adani’s Owner Has Amassed Enough Wealth to Pursue Australia Coal Project Without Banks or Taxpayer Support

Sydney Morning Herald: A leading energy analyst says a reluctance by banks to finance the controversial Adani coal mine is no longer an insurmountable hurdle because the billionaire family behind the proposal has enough wealth to fund the project itself. Should Indian mining magnate Gautam Adani decide to personally finance the controversial plan, it would […]

March 13, 2018 Read More →
IEEFA Update: A Lobbyist With Coal-Colored Glasses Can’t See the End Game

IEEFA Update: A Lobbyist With Coal-Colored Glasses Can’t See the End Game

An Open Letter in Response to a Misguided Op-Ed in the Australian Financial Review

Dear Editor: On behalf of the Institute for Energy Economics and Finance Analysis (IEEFA), I write to highlight some key factual errors and omissions in what we consider to be an extraordinarily disingenuous op-ed that your publication carried recently. It is telling that the piece is credited to Frontier Economics, a coal lobbyist working for […]

March 1, 2018 Read More →

As Global Markets Shift, a ‘Nightmare’ for Backers of Stranded Australian Coal Project

Bloomberg News: Australian mining legend Lang Hancock’s dream four decades ago of exporting coal from the country’s remote Galilee Basin is becoming a nightmare for two Indian conglomerates. Adani Group bought into the Queensland basin in 2010, followed a year later by GVK Group, with plans to ship thermal coal by the middle of the […]

March 1, 2018 Read More →

Key Rail Player Pulls Out of Adani’s Australian Coal Project

Financial Times: Australia’s largest rail freight operator withdrew an application for a A$1bn (US$777m) state-backed loan on Friday to build a rail line to support development of the Galilee Basin, one of the world’s largest untapped coal reserves. The decision by Aurizon represents another setback to Indian mining groups, Adani and GVK Hancock, which are […]

February 9, 2018 Read More →

IEEFA Update: Adani Stumbles Toward the Last-Chance Saloon

Denied by Its Erstwhile Enablers, an Indian Mining Giant in Australia Is Desperate for Help

The prospect in the New Year for Adani’s proposed Carmichael coal-mine proposal has taken a bleaker-than-ever bent. Following the Queensland government’s veto of the proposed A$1 billion government loan subsidy and after multiple Chinese banks ruled out funding the project, more nails have been driven into the project’s coffin. A month ago yesterday, Downer EDI, […]

Proposed Loan for Adani Mine, Rejected by Queensland Government, May Have Failed Financial Test Anyway

Australian Broadcasting Corporation: Adani’s bid for a $1 billion taxpayer-funded loan may have been doomed even before it was scuppered by Queensland’s Palaszczuk Government, the Productivity Commission has said. The miner’s proposed Galilee Basin rail line faced rejection by the Northern Australian Infrastructure Facility (NAIF) because it may have failed key hurdles, the commission’s latest […]

January 5, 2018 Read More →

India Charts New, Cleaner Course For Energy Sector

Power: It is estimated that nearly 240 million Indians currently do not have access to electricity. In many cases that also means a lack of access to adequate health care or educational opportunities. It is no surprise that, as nations have done throughout history, to solve its energy poverty problem, India turned to fossil fuels. […]

January 4, 2018 Read More →

IEEFA Update: One More Strike Against Adani’s Plans in Australia—India’s Two Largest Import-Coal Plants are in Severe Financial Distress

As Price of Renewables Goes Down, the Case for Import Coal Becomes Less and Less Viable

New developments in both the political and energy scene in India are increasing the possibility that Adani would be unable to export coal to India if it builds its proposed Carmichael mine in Australia’s Galilee Basin. India’s two largest import-coal power plants – Adani Power’s 4.6 GW Mundra plant and Tata Power’s own 4.0 GW […]

‘Tepid Demand’ Contributes to Over-Capacity of Coal-Fired Power Plants in India

Bloomberg: India is adding the least amount of coal-fired power in more than a decade as tepid demand from indebted state retailers fails to utilize the nation’s existing generation capacity. Coal-fired capacity, which accounts for more than three quarters of the nation’s electricity, rose by 809 megawatts during the April-November period, according to Bloomberg calculations […]

January 2, 2018 Read More →

IEEFA Australia: More Wheels Fall Off the Adani Mega-Mine Train

Investors and Government Officials Distance Themselves From High-Risk Project

The Adani Group has bounced back time and again with its troubled Carmichael mine proposal, but a run of freshly negative news now puts the project in real doubt. Today the Downer Group, an Australian engineering and infrastructure firm, announced it had relinquished an A$2 billion non-binding letter of award on the project it issued […]

December 18, 2017 Read More →