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IEEFA Research

IEEFA: Over US$50 billion in gas power projects and LNG import facilities at risk of cancellation in Bangladesh, Pakistan and Vietnam

IEEFA: Over US$50 billion in gas power projects and LNG import facilities at risk of cancellation in Bangladesh, Pakistan and Vietnam

Pakistan and Bangladesh have already cancelled tenders for LNG imports

14 January 2020 (IEEFA): Emerging markets such as Vietnam, Pakistan and Bangladesh that are turning to liquefied natural gas (LNG) as a source of power are likely to be hit by higher and more volatile prices going forward, according to a new briefing note from the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA). Author […]

IEEFA U.S.: Virginia coal plant’s future isn’t bright: preparation for  transition should commence now

IEEFA U.S.: Virginia coal plant’s future isn’t bright: preparation for transition should commence now

Virginia City Hybrid Energy Center (VCHEC), one of the newest in U.S., risks closure due to market forces

December 16, 2020 (IEEFA)—Retiring the Virginia City Hybrid Energy Center (VCHEC) will bring unnecessarily abrupt economic hardship to Wise County if state and local officials do not begin to plan now for a transition, concludes a report published today by the Institute for Energy Economic and Financial Analysis. The 8-year-old coal-fired power plant, owned by […]

IEEFA: Japanese and Korean investment in risky PJM gas-fired power calls for strategic decisions

IEEFA: Japanese and Korean investment in risky PJM gas-fired power calls for strategic decisions

Investing in gas-fired power plant development faces substantial climate risk

2 December 2020 (IEEFA): Japanese and Korean investors should reassess the growing financial risks to both their new and existing gas-fired power projects in the United States’ Pennsylvania-New Jersey-Maryland (PJM) system, finds a new report by Norman Waite at the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA). The report, Growing Risks to PJM Network’s […]

IEEFA Japan: ¥26 billion loss on Australian coal power plant raises questions for Sumitomo and its investors

Sumitomo’s coal policies are lagging its trading house peers and the Japanese government

23 November 2020 (IEEFA Japan): As the government of Japan’s energy policy shifts significantly and Japanese trading houses exit coal projects overseas, Sumitomo Corporation continues to develop coal power projects and has seen its thermal coal output grow according to a new report from the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA). The report, […]

IEEFA update: Peabody Energy flirts with bankruptcy—again

IEEFA update: Peabody Energy flirts with bankruptcy—again

Bear market for coal, new financial pressures push world’s largest coal company towards default

Just three-and-a-half years after emerging from its previous bankruptcy, Peabody Energy—the world’s largest private coal miner—admitted to investors on Monday that it could face yet another trip to bankruptcy court in the coming months. Coal bankruptcies in the United States have become increasingly common. Cheap gas and renewable power have steadily replaced coal in the […]

IEEFA report: Foreign investors face tough times closing Vietnam’s remaining coal power deals

IEEFA report: Foreign investors face tough times closing Vietnam’s remaining coal power deals

Project bankability at risk as new regulations threaten usual contractual terms

3 November 2020 (IEEFA Vietnam): Foreign investors will face higher-than-usual risks in concluding coal power projects in Vietnam, finds a new report from the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA). Author Thu Vu, Energy Analyst with IEEFA, says new regulatory and market challenges will likely prove too onerous for foreign investors in four […]

and November 3, 2020 Read More →
IEEFA: Canadian assessment of LNG ‘rising tide’ would drown balance sheets in red ink

IEEFA: Canadian assessment of LNG ‘rising tide’ would drown balance sheets in red ink

Hope springs eternal for Chinese demand but reality suggests bleak forecast for new projects

October 19, 2020 (IEEFA)— The Conference Board of Canada, an Ottawa-based research organization, has doubled down on a bad hand, according to an analysis by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis. The Conference Board’s report, A Rising Tide: The Economic Impact of B.C.’s Liquified Natural Gas Industry, claims an expansion of the British […]

IEEFA: 50 new green hydrogen projects show Europe, Australia, Asia are lead players but US$75 billion in costs and government inaction could create delays

The green hydrogen industry needs more government backing to reach demand goals

24 August 2020 (IEEFA): The renewable rich green hydrogen industry is accelerating with 50 new projects announced in the last year including five just last month, but a new report by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA) finds the pace is not fast enough to meet global energy demand, with massive capital […]

IEEFA report: Volts from the blue – floating solar to generate 900% more electricity across Asia-Pacific

IEEFA report: Volts from the blue – floating solar to generate 900% more electricity across Asia-Pacific

From below 1MW before 2019, ASEAN nations now have over 51MW installed and 858MW planned

July 1, 2020 (IEEFA) – Asia leads Europe in deploying floating solar, also known as floating photovoltaic (FPV), a new IEEFA report finds. Energy finance analysts Sara Jane Ahmed and Elrika Hamdi note that power demand in the Philippines and Malaysia has dropped by as much as 16% during the COVID-19 lockdown, causing extreme stress […]

IEEFA Indonesia: Playing with matches—Who should take responsibility for PLN’s financial mess?

IEEFA Indonesia: Playing with matches—Who should take responsibility for PLN’s financial mess?

PLN’s cash burn will put immense pressure on the government to find solutions

For PT Perusahaan Listrik Negara (PLN), Indonesia’s state-owned power company, the next few months promise to be a period of high stress as it faces a punishing mix of fixed financial obligations for independent power projects (IPPs) now providing capacity on terms that the company cannot afford, writes Melissa Brown, Director, Energy Finance Studies, Asia, […]

More News and Commentary

IEEFA: Over US$50 billion in gas power projects and LNG import facilities at risk of cancellation in Bangladesh, Pakistan and Vietnam
and

IEEFA: Over US$50 billion in gas power projects and LNG import facilities at risk of cancellation in Bangladesh, Pakistan and Vietnam

Pakistan and Bangladesh have already cancelled tenders for LNG imports

14 January 2020 (IEEFA): Emerging markets such as Vietnam, Pakistan and Bangladesh that are turning to liquefied natural gas (LNG) as a source of power are likely to be hit by higher and more volatile prices going forward, according to a new briefing note from the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA). Author […]

Japan’s Itochu Corp. sets 2024 thermal coal exit date

Reuters: Japanese trading house Itochu Corp said on Wednesday it plans to exit the thermal coal business, selling its stakes in mines in Columbia and Australia by March 2024 as it aims to promote decarbonisation. Itochu’s statement was the first confirmation from the company that it would completely withdraw from thermal coal business. It had […]

January 14, 2021 Read More →

Fitch forecasts doubling in Asian wind, solar capacity by 2029, topping 1,500GW

Recharge: Despite some near-term delays due to the Covid-19 pandemic, solar power and offshore wind will drive steep growth in non-hydro renewables in Asia, which will more than double between 2020 and 2029 to a capacity exceeding 1,500GW, Fitch Solutions forecast. As markets recover gradually, the analyst sees an acceleration of growth over the coming […]

January 5, 2021 Read More →

IEEFA Update: Coking coal’s decline likely to follow the path of thermal coal’s progressive demise

Technology disruption the likely theme of global energy markets in 2021

There has been a growing tsunami of climate commitment announcements combined with fossil fuel exclusion policies by globally significant financial institutions during December 2020, building on the pledges two months earlier by the leaders of China, Japan and South Korea committing to net zero emissions targets. On top of that, three leading corporate announcements show […]

December 22, 2020 Read More →

Pacifico Energy building 77MW solar project on former golf course in Japan

PV Tech: Japanese solar developer Pacifico Energy has started building a 77MW solar power plant in Hyogo Prefecture. Pacifico has hired construction company Sharp Energy Solutions to build the plant on the site of a former golf course, which is expected to come online in 2023. Once complete, it will generate around 93 million kWhs […]

December 21, 2020 Read More →
IEEFA U.S.: Virginia coal plant’s future isn’t bright: preparation for  transition should commence now
, and

IEEFA U.S.: Virginia coal plant’s future isn’t bright: preparation for transition should commence now

Virginia City Hybrid Energy Center (VCHEC), one of the newest in U.S., risks closure due to market forces

December 16, 2020 (IEEFA)—Retiring the Virginia City Hybrid Energy Center (VCHEC) will bring unnecessarily abrupt economic hardship to Wise County if state and local officials do not begin to plan now for a transition, concludes a report published today by the Institute for Energy Economic and Financial Analysis. The 8-year-old coal-fired power plant, owned by […]

IEEFA: China’s ban is less of a threat to Australia’s coal industry than international climate ambition

IEEFA: China’s ban is less of a threat to Australia’s coal industry than international climate ambition

Australian coal exporters will survive this near-term political fight but there are longterm structural headwinds

The decision by China’s National Development and Reform Commission to formally and indefinitely block Australian coal imports is a key threat to Australia’s political and economic wellbeing. Australia can never expect to win a trade war with its biggest export partner, and it is sheer political and economic suicide to try to do so. But […]

December 15, 2020 Read More →

Japan planning major expansion in offshore wind, up to 45GW by 2040

Bloomberg: Japan will aim to more than quadruple offshore wind generation capacity in the decade to 2040 under plans to meet its mid-century emissions reduction target. The government will seek to lift offshore wind capacity to as much as 45 gigawatts in 2040 from 10 gigawatts in 2030, the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry […]

December 15, 2020 Read More →

Japanese government to invest $19 billion to support 2030 hydrogen commercialization goal—report

Reuters: Japan will aim to make hydrogen a power source viable enough to produce the output of more than 30 nuclear reactors by 2030, the Nikkei newspaper reported on Tuesday. To achieve that goal in its bid to reduce carbon emissions Japan will have to make a technology now in its infancy commercially viable at […]

December 9, 2020 Read More →
IEEFA: Japanese and Korean investment in risky PJM gas-fired power calls for strategic decisions
and

IEEFA: Japanese and Korean investment in risky PJM gas-fired power calls for strategic decisions

Investing in gas-fired power plant development faces substantial climate risk

2 December 2020 (IEEFA): Japanese and Korean investors should reassess the growing financial risks to both their new and existing gas-fired power projects in the United States’ Pennsylvania-New Jersey-Maryland (PJM) system, finds a new report by Norman Waite at the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA). The report, Growing Risks to PJM Network’s […]