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IEEFA Research

IEEFA: India could compete against China in solar module production with the right government support

IEEFA: India could compete against China in solar module production with the right government support

The focus should be on helping manufacturers become globally competitive

7 January 2021 (IEEFA India): Although one of the top 10 solar module producers in the world, India is lagging behind its biggest competitor China, finds a new report by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA) and JMK Research. The report, Viability Assessment of New Domestic Solar Module Manufacturing Units, finds current production capacity in […]

IEEFA U.S.: FERC gives blank check approval to pipeline builders, while investors and consumers pick up costs

IEEFA U.S.: FERC gives blank check approval to pipeline builders, while investors and consumers pick up costs

Commission’s 21-year-old pipeline policy puts contracts ahead of utility customers

December 17, 2020 (IEEFA) — The federal agency responsible for approving interstate gas pipeline projects is basing its decisions on contracts rather than on today’s consumer energy needs or the public interest, according to a report released today by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis. The report—FERC’s Failure to Analyze Energy Market Forces—details […]

IEEFA update: Peabody Energy flirts with bankruptcy—again

IEEFA update: Peabody Energy flirts with bankruptcy—again

Bear market for coal, new financial pressures push world’s largest coal company towards default

Just three-and-a-half years after emerging from its previous bankruptcy, Peabody Energy—the world’s largest private coal miner—admitted to investors on Monday that it could face yet another trip to bankruptcy court in the coming months. Coal bankruptcies in the United States have become increasingly common. Cheap gas and renewable power have steadily replaced coal in the […]

IEEFA report: Foreign investors face tough times closing Vietnam’s remaining coal power deals

IEEFA report: Foreign investors face tough times closing Vietnam’s remaining coal power deals

Project bankability at risk as new regulations threaten usual contractual terms

3 November 2020 (IEEFA Vietnam): Foreign investors will face higher-than-usual risks in concluding coal power projects in Vietnam, finds a new report from the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA). Author Thu Vu, Energy Analyst with IEEFA, says new regulatory and market challenges will likely prove too onerous for foreign investors in four […]

and November 3, 2020 Read More →
IEEFA: Canadian assessment of LNG ‘rising tide’ would drown balance sheets in red ink

IEEFA: Canadian assessment of LNG ‘rising tide’ would drown balance sheets in red ink

Hope springs eternal for Chinese demand but reality suggests bleak forecast for new projects

October 19, 2020 (IEEFA)— The Conference Board of Canada, an Ottawa-based research organization, has doubled down on a bad hand, according to an analysis by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis. The Conference Board’s report, A Rising Tide: The Economic Impact of B.C.’s Liquified Natural Gas Industry, claims an expansion of the British […]

IEEFA: 50 new green hydrogen projects show Europe, Australia, Asia are lead players but US$75 billion in costs and government inaction could create delays

The green hydrogen industry needs more government backing to reach demand goals

24 August 2020 (IEEFA): The renewable rich green hydrogen industry is accelerating with 50 new projects announced in the last year including five just last month, but a new report by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA) finds the pace is not fast enough to meet global energy demand, with massive capital […]

IEEFA report: China unlikely to come to rescue of overbuilt U.S. LNG industry

IEEFA report: China unlikely to come to rescue of overbuilt U.S. LNG industry

Falling prices and shrinking demand constrain market, even before coronavirus crisis

July 29, 2020 (IEEFA) — A rebound of the ailing U.S. liquefied natural gas (LNG) industry isn’t likely to come from Chinese demand, according to a new study by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA). Global LNG markets have been hammered by collapsing prices, falling consumption, and an enormous supply glut in […]

IEEFA report: Volts from the blue – floating solar to generate 900% more electricity across Asia-Pacific

IEEFA report: Volts from the blue – floating solar to generate 900% more electricity across Asia-Pacific

From below 1MW before 2019, ASEAN nations now have over 51MW installed and 858MW planned

July 1, 2020 (IEEFA) – Asia leads Europe in deploying floating solar, also known as floating photovoltaic (FPV), a new IEEFA report finds. Energy finance analysts Sara Jane Ahmed and Elrika Hamdi note that power demand in the Philippines and Malaysia has dropped by as much as 16% during the COVID-19 lockdown, causing extreme stress […]

IEEFA report: New coal power plants locking Pakistan into too much supply and unsustainable capacity payments

IEEFA report: New coal power plants locking Pakistan into too much supply and unsustainable capacity payments

Sindh province demonstrates Pakistan’s renewable energy potential

26 June 2020 (IEEFA Pakistan) ‒ With electricity demand growth slowing even before COVID-19, Pakistan is faced with the increasing financial burden of power capacity payments and overcapacity risk at a time when renewables are the cheapest source of energy available, finds a new IEEFA report. Two more Chinese-financed coal-fired plants have reached financial close […]

IEEFA: Tough times ahead for Indonesian coal producers as China and India demand drops

Indonesian coal at the mercy of the 'dragon and tiger'

June 26, 2020 (IEEFA Indonesia) – Weaker coal demand in China and India in the wake of the COVID-19 epidemic and compounded by policies favoring domestic coal industries will cause severe shortfalls in output for 10 major listed Indonesian coal producers in 2020, finds a new report from the Institute of Energy Economics and Financial […]

More News and Commentary

IEEFA: India could compete against China in solar module production with the right government support
, and

IEEFA: India could compete against China in solar module production with the right government support

The focus should be on helping manufacturers become globally competitive

7 January 2021 (IEEFA India): Although one of the top 10 solar module producers in the world, India is lagging behind its biggest competitor China, finds a new report by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA) and JMK Research. The report, Viability Assessment of New Domestic Solar Module Manufacturing Units, finds current production capacity in […]

Fitch forecasts doubling in Asian wind, solar capacity by 2029, topping 1,500GW

Recharge: Despite some near-term delays due to the Covid-19 pandemic, solar power and offshore wind will drive steep growth in non-hydro renewables in Asia, which will more than double between 2020 and 2029 to a capacity exceeding 1,500GW, Fitch Solutions forecast. As markets recover gradually, the analyst sees an acceleration of growth over the coming […]

January 5, 2021 Read More →
IEEFA U.S.: FERC gives blank check approval to pipeline builders, while investors and consumers pick up costs
, and

IEEFA U.S.: FERC gives blank check approval to pipeline builders, while investors and consumers pick up costs

Commission’s 21-year-old pipeline policy puts contracts ahead of utility customers

December 17, 2020 (IEEFA) — The federal agency responsible for approving interstate gas pipeline projects is basing its decisions on contracts rather than on today’s consumer energy needs or the public interest, according to a report released today by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis. The report—FERC’s Failure to Analyze Energy Market Forces—details […]

IEEFA: China’s ban is less of a threat to Australia’s coal industry than international climate ambition

IEEFA: China’s ban is less of a threat to Australia’s coal industry than international climate ambition

Australian coal exporters will survive this near-term political fight but there are longterm structural headwinds

The decision by China’s National Development and Reform Commission to formally and indefinitely block Australian coal imports is a key threat to Australia’s political and economic wellbeing. Australia can never expect to win a trade war with its biggest export partner, and it is sheer political and economic suicide to try to do so. But […]

December 15, 2020 Read More →

IEA: Global electricity generation from coal will drop by largest amount on record in 2020

S&P Global Market Intelligence ($): Worldwide coal generation will fall 5% in 2020 to 2012 levels, marking the largest annual decrease on record, the International Energy Agency estimated in a new report. Coal use will likely bounce back in 2021, but growth in renewables will remain the lead story in electricity generation, the agency said […]

December 15, 2020 Read More →
IEEFA: Pakistan announces ‘no new coal-fired power’

IEEFA: Pakistan announces ‘no new coal-fired power’

Implications for coal across the Belt and Road Initiative

At the 12 December Climate Ambition Summit hosted by the U.N., the U.K. and France, Pakistan’s Prime Minister Imran Khan announced that his nation “will not have any more power based on coal”. On the face of it, this is a highly significant statement for a nation that was until now intending to exploit its […]

December 14, 2020 Read More →

Industry group says Chinese solar installations could average 70GW annually through 2025

Reuters: China has brought about 40 gigawatts (GW) of new solar power into operation in 2020, taking its total installed solar capacity to 240 GW, its solar manufacturing association said on Thursday. China’s total solar capacity had increased more than fivefold since 2015 and could double in the next five years, said Wang Bohua, vice-chairman […]

December 10, 2020 Read More →

HSBC: Annual Chinese solar installations could top 75GW by 2025

Renew Economy: China, already the biggest manufacturer and the biggest installer of solar PV in the world, is tipped to double the annual installation of solar capacity to 85 gigawatts as it ramps up efforts to meet its newly declared zero net emissions target for 2060. Analysts and close China industry watchers at HSBC say […]

November 27, 2020 Read More →

Vietnam moves forward with 350MW Ca Mau offshore wind project, largest in the country

Seetao: The wind from the sea is coming, and countries and enterprises are rushing forward. Although offshore wind power is an inevitable choice. On November 11, 2020, Energy China Gezhouba International Corporation and Vietnam Construction and Trading Corporation signed the EPC contract for the 350MW offshore wind power project in Ca Mau, Vietnam. This project […]

November 27, 2020 Read More →

IEEFA: The Australian government is holding out on setting a net-zero emissions deadline

Australia’s states and territories, corporates and financial institutions have set their own 2050 targets

More and more countries have net zero emissions ambitions, including Australia’s top trading partners China, Japan, South Korea, the UK and the U.S. (with President-elect Joe Biden preparing to move into the White House). Every Australian state and territory has committed to achieving net zero emissions by 2050 (or sooner for the ACT) and corporates […]

November 25, 2020 Read More →