Author Archive: Tim Buckley

Director Energy Finance Studies, Australia/South Asia, Tim Buckley has 25 years of financial markets experience, specializing in equity valuation, including as a top-rated analyst and as co-founder and managing director of Arkx Investment Management.

IEEFA: Global finance is mobilising to meet East Asia’s net-zero ambition

Bolder emissions reduction targets by China, Japan and South Korea threaten Australian fossil fuel exports

Chinese President Xi Jinping’s surprise announcement at the UN General Assembly in September 2020 that the world’s biggest emitter would become carbon neutral by 2060 has proved pivotal. This has sparked a ratcheting up of greenhouse gas emissions reduction pledges and a global technology race to curb fossil fuels and boost renewable energy, as world […]

May 11, 2021 Read More →

IEEFA: Whitehaven’s Vickery coal folly

Company’s shareholder wealth destruction is extreme and ongoing

Whitehaven Coal has long set its strategic direction on the implicit assumption that the world would fail to deliver on the Paris Agreement. Its investor communications and Board strategies have largely ignored and more recently downplayed this key financial and strategic risk. The financial market however is not so blind. The shares of Whitehaven Coal […]

April 28, 2021 Read More →

IEEFA Australia: ANZ divesting from the world’s largest coal export port is ‘pragmatism’

The biggest buyers of Australian thermal coal have committed to net-zero emissions

Listen to the podcast here. ANZ, Australia’s third largest bank, has decided to stop lending to the Port of Newcastle, the world’s largest thermal coal export terminal, under its new climate change policy to cut funding to the coal sector, including the associated infrastructure and service providers. To look at the background to the bank’s […]

February 18, 2021 Read More →

IEEFA: Global capital mobilising for India’s $500bn renewable energy infrastructure opportunity

The key domestic and international institutions driving renewable energy growth in India

16 February 2021 (IEEFA India): A huge global capital pool is mobilising to invest in renewable energy and grid projects in India, according to a new IEEFA report, with pull factors including solar power tariffs hitting record lows, plunging solar module costs, record low interest rates, and the security of government-backed, 25-year power purchase agreements (PPAs). […]

IEEFA India: The false promise of ‘second life’ coal

India risks Rs4 trillion new investment in yet more stranded fossil fuel assets

Federal Home Minister Amit Shah’s suggestion that India should invest 4 trillion rupees (US$55billion) in expanding new and existing coal mines, as well as high-risk, speculative, domestic ‘clean coal’ projects over the next decade to create a hoped for ‘second life’ is, in our view, entirely inconsistent with the country’s policy direction and ignores the […]

January 19, 2021 Read More →

IEEFA Update: Coking coal’s decline likely to follow the path of thermal coal’s progressive demise

Technology disruption the likely theme of global energy markets in 2021

There has been a growing tsunami of climate commitment announcements combined with fossil fuel exclusion policies by globally significant financial institutions during December 2020, building on the pledges two months earlier by the leaders of China, Japan and South Korea committing to net zero emissions targets. On top of that, three leading corporate announcements show […]

December 22, 2020 Read More →

IEEFA: China’s ban is less of a threat to Australia’s coal industry than international climate ambition

Australian coal exporters will survive this near-term political fight but there are longterm structural headwinds

The decision by China’s National Development and Reform Commission to formally and indefinitely block Australian coal imports is a key threat to Australia’s political and economic wellbeing. Australia can never expect to win a trade war with its biggest export partner, and it is sheer political and economic suicide to try to do so. But […]

December 15, 2020 Read More →

IEEFA: Australia should be a net-zero emissions leader

Setting a target of net-zero emissions by 2050 would maximise employment, investment and export opportunities

11 December 2020 (IEEFA Australia): Australia must align itself with the global push to go carbon-neutral to maintain strong trade in a net zero emissions world, the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA) notes in its submission in support of a new climate change bill before the Australian parliament. The bill, introduced by Zali Steggall, […]

IEEFA: Malaysia’s CIMB announces coal financing phase-out by 2040 as Asia’s fossil fuel divestment drive accelerates

The first emerging markets bank to announce a progressive coal exit policy

Malaysia’s CIMB Group Holdings (CIMB) has announced a comprehensive coal exit policy with a commitment to phase out both project and general corporate financing of thermal coal mining and coal-fired power generation across its portfolio by 2040. This is a first in several ways. CIMB is the first Malaysian bank to act on a formal […]

December 8, 2020 Read More →

IEEFA Australia: National Electricity Market reform agenda provides path to a flexible decarbonised decentralised grid

Australia needs this to keep up with the global energy transition underway

The energy transition is gaining pace, so it is encouraging that Australia’s Energy Security Board (ESB) is pro-actively seeking input to help guide necessary reforms. The ESB, tasked by federal and state energy ministers to develop strategic policy and provide market development advice, is getting on with an ambitious program of work, including consultation on […]

November 27, 2020 Read More →