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IEEFA Research

IEEFA Indonesia: A Potential Overcommitment to Coal-Fired Electricity Puts a Nation at Risk

IEEFA Indonesia: A Potential Overcommitment to Coal-Fired Electricity Puts a Nation at Risk

Out of Step With a Global Shift in the Energy Economy

We’ve just published a report that calls into serious question Indonesia’s plans to expand its commitment to coal-fired electricity generation. The report—“Overpaid and Underutilized: How Capacity Payments Could Lock Indonesia Into a High-Cost Electricity Future”—analyzes Indonesia’s 2017-26 national energy blueprint and shows how long-term coal power contracts that the country is contemplating will not just […]

August 10, 2017 Read More →
IEEFA Australia: Hume Coal Proposal Will Be Left Behind as Energy Markets Move On

IEEFA Australia: Hume Coal Proposal Will Be Left Behind as Energy Markets Move On

New Coal Mine Makes Even Less Sense than It Did Last Year; Hume Will Find it Hard to Compete with Higher-Quality Coking Coal

Despite the significant increase in coking coal prices that began in late 2016, the proposed Hume Coal project in the Southern Highlands of New South Wales seems no more likely to proceed now than it did when IEEFA reviewed it ten months ago. Hume Coal, a subsidiary of South Korea’s largest steel maker POSCO, has […]

IEEFA Report: Kayenta Mine Is Unlikely to Find  New Customers Once Navajo Generating Station Closes

IEEFA Report: Kayenta Mine Is Unlikely to Find New Customers Once Navajo Generating Station Closes

A ‘Buyer Beware’ on Peabody Energy Property; Regional Demand for Coal Is in Decline; Export-Market Possibilities Are Bleak; Previous Recent Mine Deals Have Failed

June 29, 2017 (IEEFA.org) — The Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA) published a report today concluding that Peabody Energy’s Kayenta mine in northeast Arizona is not likely to find new customers or markets once its sole customer, Navajo Generating Station, closes. The Navajo Nation Council voted this week to approve a deal with […]

IEEFA Puerto Rico: The Aguirre Offshore Gas Port Is Unbankable

PREPA Has No Viable Plan to Finance a $380 Million Project, Leaving Ratepayers to Absorb the Costs

At the heart of the Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority’s flawed plan to upgrade the island’s crumbling electricity system lies a proposed $380 million facility to bring imported liquefied natural gas into the commonwealth. PREPA, as the authority is known, has been promoting the project for years, even though it would mean a perpetuation of […]

IEEFA Report: ‘Natural Security’ Argument for Saving 2 Power Plants Is a Red Herring Meant to Distract From an Ohio Valley Electric Bailout

Keeping Kyger Creek and Clifty Creek on Life Support Would Cost Ratepayers $1.4 Billion; Market Conditions Will Continue to Undermine Viability of Aging Coal-Fired Plants; Public Resources Are Better Spent on Investing in Transition; Neither Generator Is Needed for Grid Stability

June 20, 2017  (IEEFA.org) – The Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA) today published a research brief questioning a bill in the Ohio legislature that would bail out two failing coal-fired power plants owned by the Ohio Valley Electric Corporation (OVEC) and keep the plants alive at huge expense to ratepayers. The plants […]

IEEFA Report: ‘Payment for a Job Well Done,’ a Transition Plan in Anticipation of Shutdowns of Navajo Generating Station and Kayenta Mine

IEEFA Report: ‘Payment for a Job Well Done,’ a Transition Plan in Anticipation of Shutdowns of Navajo Generating Station and Kayenta Mine

Initiative to Limit Job Losses and Community Disruption; Investing in Economic Growth Rather Than Subsidizing Northern Arizona's Failing Coal Industry

June 6, 2017 (IEEFA.org) – The Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA) today published a report outlining an economic- growth strategy for a region that stands to be set back severely by the closure of the Navajo Generating Station and the Kayenta coal mine. The proposal—“A Transition Plan for Communities Affected by the […]

IEEFA Update: Adani’s ‘Go-Ahead’ on Australian Mega-Coal Mine Is a Stunt

‘This Proposal Is Still a Pipe Dream’; Announcement ‘Theatrics’ Mean Little

Commenting on reports that Adani Enterprises Ltd has given the final go-ahead on the Carmichael mine proposal in Australia, Tim Buckley, IEEFA’s director of energy finance studies, Australasia said today: “An internal investment decision for the Carmichael mine is very different to an externally legally binding financial close. This proposal is still a pipe dream.” […]

IEEFA Update: As Australia Fights a Domestic Gas Shortage, New Export Plants Are at Risk of Closure

IEEFA Update: As Australia Fights a Domestic Gas Shortage, New Export Plants Are at Risk of Closure

‘Fiddling Around and Allowing the Cartels to Fleece Consumers’

nJune 5, 2017 (IEEFA.org) – The Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis today published a report detailing how a complex of expensive new liquefied natural gas plants on the east coast of Australia are struggling to stay open in the face of a global gas glut. The report—“Australia’s Export LNG Plants at Gladstone: The […]

IEEFA Report: State-Owned Utility NTPC Takes a Lead Role in India’s Electricity Transition

IEEFA Report: State-Owned Utility NTPC Takes a Lead Role in India’s Electricity Transition

Country’s Largest Generation Company—Ranked Third Globally in Coal-Fired Capacity and Seventh in Generation—Emerges as Key Supporter of Government’s Renewable-Energy Initiative

May 25, 2017 (IEEFA.org) — The state-owned Indian utility NTPC is playing a key role in India’s push toward retooling its electricity-generation system, according to a new report by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA). The report—“NTPC as a Force in India’s Electricity Transition: Leading the Way Toward a New Energy Economy”—details how […]

IEEFA Report: ‘End of an Era’ for Navajo Generating Station; Vast Subsidies Would Be Required to Keep Aging Plant Online; Retirement Seen as Most Viable Option

IEEFA Report: ‘End of an Era’ for Navajo Generating Station; Vast Subsidies Would Be Required to Keep Aging Plant Online; Retirement Seen as Most Viable Option

‘No Longer Competitive’ With Rise of Natural Gas and Renewables; Staying Open Through 2022 Would Require a $740-Million-to-$1-Billion Subsidy; Through 2030 Would Require a $1.4 to $2.4 Billion Subsidy

May 10, 2017  (IEEFA.org) – The Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis today published a report detailing how the failing coal-fired Navajo Generating Station in northern Arizona will require hundreds of millions of dollars in subsidies to remain online for any length of time. The report—“End of an Era: Navajo Generating Station Is No […]

More News and Commentary

Australia Natural Gas Export Overbuild Is Collapsing

The Guardian: Australia’s natural gas export boom, which is causing soaring gas prices and pushing up carbon emissions, appears to be rapidly shedding value. Santos wiped more than $1bn off the value of its liquefied natural gas plant in Queensland on Tuesday, just a week after Origin announced a similar devaluation. The devaluations were predicted […]

August 15, 2017 Read More →
IEEFA Australia: The Odds Against Adani’s Mega-Mine Are Growing
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IEEFA Australia: The Odds Against Adani’s Mega-Mine Are Growing

Project Remains Unbankable and Cannot Proceed Without Government Subsidies

Last week’s news that Commonwealth Bank, Australia’s largest, has ruled out financing for the proposed Carmichael project because of the climate risk it comes with is but the latest in the long drip of events adding to the probability the mega-mine-and-rail complex will never be built. In fact our view has only hardened that Carmichael […]

Competitors Don’t Like West Virginia Governor’s Proposal for Federal Subsidy to Coal Producers in His State

Bloomberg BNA: Coal companies from outside Appalachia, and the Republicans in Congress representing them, are taking a dim view of West Virginia Gov. Jim Justice’s efforts to win a $4.5 billion subsidy for eastern coal. To those non-Appalachian coal companies, Justice’s request for a $15 per ton subsidy to power plants that burn regional coal […]

August 14, 2017 Read More →

U.S. Coal Exec Sees Market Glut Continuing

SNL: “When I look at the market right now … it’s a difficult and challenging market environment,” Foresight President and CEO Robert Moore said on an earnings call. “It continues to be. It has been, and I believe that it will continue to be.” Moore said that while there has been a reduction in utility […]

August 14, 2017 Read More →

Bipartisan Move in Congress to Thwart Trade Petition Aimed at Driving Up Solar-Panel Prices

Washington Examiner: Republican and Democratic lawmakers on Friday defended U.S. installers of rooftop solar panels and made an effort to beat back a pending decision that could make imported solar panels more expensive. Bipartisan letters from 16 senators and 53 congressman were sent to International Trade Commission Chairman Rhonda Schmidtlein, and urged the agency to […]

August 14, 2017 Read More →

Kentucky Coal Producer Armstrong Energy Near Bankruptcy

SNL: With an Aug. 14 deadline looming to make an interest payment, Armstrong Energy Inc. released its second-quarter earnings with warnings to investors that it is likely to default on other debt and faces a real threat of bankruptcy. Armstrong reported a net loss of about $17.2 million for the second quarter, compared to a […]

August 14, 2017 Read More →

Q&A with NY State Comptroller: How Investors Can Manage Climate Risk Now

Environmental-Finance.com: Why is NYS Common Retirement Fund addressing climate risks? Thomas DiNapoli: Addressing climate risk is my fiduciary duty as trustee of the New York State Common Retirement Fund. Climate change is an unprecedented, material risk that affects our portfolio across virtually all asset classes, yet there is little disclosure. We want to know that […]

August 14, 2017 Read More →

Ohio, ‘for Ideological and Political Reasons,’ Ranks 46th in Utility-Scale Wind Capacity

Cleveland Plain Dealer: Ohio businesses, farmers and industries have been installing small, medium and even large wind turbines for more than a decade, and the state is now ranked sixth in the nation for the amount of power these turbines can generate for on-site use or nearby delivery. In an annual market report issued this […]

August 14, 2017 Read More →
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IEEFA Update: In West Virginia Governor’s Scheme, a Bailout Disguised as a National-Security Program That Would Cost Taxpayers $60 Billion Over Five Years

A Flimsy and Dangerous Rationale Rooted in a Denial of Modern Energy Market Trends

Just how big a giveaway to the Appalachian coal industry is West Virginia Gov. Jim Justice talking about as he lobbies the White House for a $15-per-ton subsidy for coal producers in the region? Central and Northern Appalachia coal fields produced 167 million tons in 2016, which not incidentally was its lowest year of production […]

IEEFA Update: U.S. Coal Country Candor—What Would Raylan Givens Do?

Justice Prevailed on ‘Justified.’ But Only Because Somebody Stood Up for It.

What becomes now of the America of straight-talking, tough-but-fair Deputy U.S. Marshall Raylan Givens, the hero (and sometimes anti-hero) of the late great Elmore Leonard? Givens was the central character in the AMC show “Justified,” a series that ran for six strong seasons before ending in 2015. It was built largely off a classic Leonard […]

August 11, 2017 Read More →