Commentary

IEEFA Update: The Emperor Isn’t Wearing Very Much

IEEFA Update: The Emperor Isn’t Wearing Very Much

A Report to Heed: ‘Why Investors Should Treat Oil Company Energy Forecasts With Caution’ (and Perhaps ExxonMobil’s With the Most Caution)

The energy sector is going through a time of unprecedented change, and investors should take heed. We publish often on the sweep and pace of this shift in our ongoing analysis of the U.S. coal industry; our research on oil majors like Exxon; our work on public policy from Puerto Rico to Norway; our commentary […]

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IEEFA Update: The Texas Electricity Transition Gains Pace

IEEFA Update: The Texas Electricity Transition Gains Pace

More Coal Plant Closings on the Horizon; Wind and Solar on the Rise

Texas continues its remarkable transition away from coal-fired electricity generation. And the trend is gaining momentum because market forces are in the driver’s seat, which is to say coal plants for the most part are no longer competitive with other sources of energy. A report we published last fall—“The Beginning of the End: Fundamental Changes […]

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IEEFA Update: Lacking Customers, PacRim Bails Out of Its Alaska Coal Project

A New Mine on Cook Inlet Was as Crazy as It Sounded

Word out of Alaska this morning that investors have pulled out of the proposed Chuitna Coal Project near Alaska’s Cook Inlet was presaged by the fast-moving global transition in electricity generation. Research we published two years ago—and that we outlined in an August 2015 letter to the Alaska Department of Natural Resources—pointed to where Delaware-based […]

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IEEFA Indonesia: Shifting Regulatory Landscape Makes Coal-Fired Plants Riskier to Finance

Rule Changes That Undermine Traditional Guarantees to Developers

In the fast-evolving regulatory landscape of the Indonesian power sector, it’s hard to say for sure how changes will affect developers, investors and lenders. The trends are instructive nonetheless. The state-owned utility, Persero (PLN), which is the sole offtaker for electricity in Indonesia, can now negotiate and re-allocate risks under recently revised rules issued by […]

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IEEFA Europe: More Fallout Around the Dutch Coal Stranded-Asset Mistake

Uniper, Engie Make Further Write-Downs in the Netherlands; Plans Proceed Nonetheless in Germany for an Equally Outmoded Project

In “The Dutch Coal Mistake” report we published late last year we warned of further write-downs to come from the extraordinary commissioning of three brand-new coal power plants in the Netherlands in 2015. That report spoke directly to the Dutch gaffe but raised broader questions about investing in new coal-powered generation anywhere in Europe. The […]

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IEEFA Press Release: ‘Zero Employment Impact’ In Trump Administration’s New Energy Policies

Decline of U.S. Coal Industry Will Continue; Production Will Drop; Investors Will Jump Ship; Few Gains From Regulatory Relief; Increasingly Dim Employment Prospects

The Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis today dismissed job-production claims that the Trump administration made this week with its rollback of emissions regulations and federal mining policies. Tom Sanzillo, IEEFA’s director of finance, said the coal industry especially remains unlikely to recover, regardless of what the administration does. “Market forces overwhelmingly favor natural gas-fired electricity […]

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IEEFA Update: Japan Is Investing Heavily in Overseas Renewables
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IEEFA Update: Japan Is Investing Heavily in Overseas Renewables

Momentum Spreads From Domestic to Foreign Activity

Among one of the key points we made in a report we published last week on Japan’s post-nuclear energy economy is how Japanese energy-investment capital is being pulled inextricably now toward overseas renewable-energy projects. It’s a wrinkle worth repeating. Our report—“Japan: Greater Energy Security Through Renewables – Electricity Transformation in a Post-Nuclear Economy”—details how the […]

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IEEFA U.K.: An Official Acknowledgement That Renewables and Better Cross-Border Interconnection Can Replace Coal-Fired Generation

IEEFA U.K.: An Official Acknowledgement That Renewables and Better Cross-Border Interconnection Can Replace Coal-Fired Generation

Latest Government Projections Undermine the Case for a Flagship Capacity Market That Subsidizes Conventional Generation

The U.K. government’s latest energy projections, out last week, show a grid dominated by renewables and electricity imports by 2025, exceeding the conventional generation presently supported by the country’s ratepayer-subsidized capacity market. This news comes on the heels of a report we published earlier this month on how interconnection with neighboring countries and renewable energy […]

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IEEFA Puerto Rico: The PREPA Restructuring Plan Before Congress Is Not Realistic and Does Not Hold All Players Accountable

IEEFA Puerto Rico: The PREPA Restructuring Plan Before Congress Is Not Realistic and Does Not Hold All Players Accountable

Bondholders and Dealmakers Are Not Stepping Up; Citizen Ratepayers and Taxpayers Are Left Holding the Bag Under Proposal Before Congress

Puerto Rico’s electricity-system imbroglio is in the public eye today in Washington, where a house subcommittee is holding a public hearing on a plan to restructure the Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority’s staggering $9.5 billion debt. We’ve written a letter to the subcommittee chairman, Rep. Doug LaMalfa, detailing how the debt restructuring plan sells Puerto Rico […]

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IEEFA Report: A Renewables Path to Japanese Energy Security in a Post-Nuclear Era
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IEEFA Report: A Renewables Path to Japanese Energy Security in a Post-Nuclear Era

Eliminating High-Risk Dependence on Imported Fuels; Exploiting Domestic Technology Advantages; Avoiding Stranded Assets in Misguided Coal Projects

We’ve just published a report that details how Japan’s post-nuclear electricity-generation economy can be viably retooled around renewable energy. Our report—“Japan: Greater Energy Security Through Renewables: Electricity Transformation in a Post-Nuclear Economy”—emphasizes the potential for national energy security through renewables, most especially wind and solar. This report documents how government policies adopted in the wake […]

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