Carmichael Coal Project

IEEFA Research

IEEFA Australia: Escalating Financial Risk in Adani’s Abbot Point Coal Terminal

Begging the Question as to Why the Government Would Lend Heavily to a Tax-Haven Scheme Controlled by a Foreign Billionaire

Oct. 2, 2017 (IEEFA) — New analysis by The Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA) finds that Adani’s Abbot Point Coal Terminal is excessively leveraged, promises negative shareholders equity, and runs the risk of becoming a stranded asset if Adani’s proposed Carmichael mine does not get the A$1 billion Australian taxpayer subsidy it […]

October 2, 2017 Read More →

NAIF Inadequate Project Assessment and Failure of Public Interest Test

Submission to Senate Inquiry into the Governance and Operation of the Northern Australia Infrastructure Facility

Our research in the context of Adani calls into question the project assessment and approval process of the Northern Australia Infrastructure Facility (NAIF) as it relates to a A$900 million loan request as well as the adequacy of the NAIF’s tests for risk appetite and for whether a project is in the public interest. Full […]

August 23, 2017 Read More →

IEEFA Update: Adani’s ‘Go-Ahead’ on Australian Mega-Coal Mine Is a Stunt

‘This Proposal Is Still a Pipe Dream’; Announcement ‘Theatrics’ Mean Little

Commenting on reports that Adani Enterprises Ltd has given the final go-ahead on the Carmichael mine proposal in Australia, Tim Buckley, IEEFA’s director of energy finance studies, Australasia said today: “An internal investment decision for the Carmichael mine is very different to an externally legally binding financial close. This proposal is still a pipe dream.” […]

IEEFA Update: An Increasingly Cursed Australian Coal Project

IEEFA Update: An Increasingly Cursed Australian Coal Project

Bad Financials, Weak Markets, Policy Headwinds, Social-License Issues, Transparency Questions, Climate Risk: The Many Afflictions Hobbling the Proposed Carmichael Mine

update on Adani’s long-festering coal mine project in northern Queensland that plumbs the depths of the Indian conglomerate’s financials and finds them vastly insufficient for the supposed job at hand. Our report— “Adani: Remote Prospect: Carmichael Status Update 2017”—follows on previous work we’ve done around what would be the biggest new coal mine in the […]

New IEEFA Report – Adani: Remote Prospects

New IEEFA Report – Adani: Remote Prospects

Obstacles to Adani’s Project in Australia Have Only Grown: The Strategic ‘Moment’ for Coal Mining in the Galilee Basin Has Passed; Public Investment Is Ill-Advised; Markets Will Not Support an Unbankable Development

Almost two years ago we published a review in which we raised doubts about the Adani Group’s proposed Carmichael coal mine in the Galilee Basin of Australia and the associated rail and port infrastructure development. The mine would ship coal through the port at Abbot Point in the Great Barrier Reef. Today we’ve published an […]

September 15, 2015 Read More →
IEEFA Study: Corporate Restructuring at Adani Enterprises Enhances Shareholder Value; Marginalizes Australian Coal Project; Better Aligns Adani Group With Transformation of India’s Electricity Sector

IEEFA Study: Corporate Restructuring at Adani Enterprises Enhances Shareholder Value; Marginalizes Australian Coal Project; Better Aligns Adani Group With Transformation of India’s Electricity Sector

Proposed Development of Galilee Basin Project Will Become ‘Collateral Damage’

CLEVELAND, May 5, 2015 (IEEFA.org) — A report published today by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA) concludes that Adani Enterprises’ recent corporate restructuring better aligns its parent Adani Group with minority shareholders and with new opportunities emerging in the Indian electricity sector transformation. It concludes also that the restructuring—which vastly reduces […]

May 4, 2015 Read More →
Global Energy Markets Transition Drives Thermal Coal Into Structural Decline

Global Energy Markets Transition Drives Thermal Coal Into Structural Decline

New Research by IEEFA Sees Slowing Demand for Coal and Rapidly Rising Investment in Renewables CLEVELAND, Jan. 14, 2015 (IEEFA.org) — Rapid expansion of renewable energy combined with weakening electricity demand are driving a structural decline in seaborne thermal coal markets, according to a new briefing released today by the Institute for Energy Economics and […]

January 14, 2015 Read More →
Briefing note: The Outlook for Financing for Australia’s Galilee Basin Coal Proposals

Briefing note: The Outlook for Financing for Australia’s Galilee Basin Coal Proposals

Briefing note: The outlook for financing for Australia’s Galilee Basin coal proposals By: Tom Sanzillo, IEEFA Director of Finance

October 22, 2014 Read More →
Briefing note: Fossil fuels, energy transition & risk, July 2014

Briefing note: Fossil fuels, energy transition & risk, July 2014

Briefing note: Fossil fuels, energy transition & risk,  July 2014 (pdf) By Tim Buckley, Director of Energy Finance Studies, Australasia, IEEFA

July 21, 2014 Read More →
Briefing note: Fossil fuels, energy transition & risk

Briefing note: Fossil fuels, energy transition & risk

 Briefing note: Fossil fuels, energy transition & risk (pdf)

June 5, 2014 Read More →

More News and Commentary

Op-Ed: A Train to Nowhere

The Guardian: The dispute over the Adani Group’s proposed Carmichael mine and the associated port at Abbot Point has long been cast as a choice between jobs and the environment. We are promised an economic bonanza with 10,000 jobs and billions of dollars in royalties and taxes. For hard-pressed cities like Townsville and Rockhampton and […]

October 18, 2017 Read More →

Adani Insists, Against Mounting Odds, That It Will Proceed Soon on Australian Coal-Train Project

The Guardian: The Adani Group has said it will “break ground within days” on the rail link for its Carmichael coalmine and has claimed daily progress on a project for which it still needs to secure about $5bn in finance. The Adani Mining chief executive, Jeyakumar Janakaraj, said in a statement on Friday the company […]

October 13, 2017 Read More →

IEEFA Australia: Escalating Financial Risk in Adani’s Abbot Point Coal Terminal

Begging the Question as to Why the Government Would Lend Heavily to a Tax-Haven Scheme Controlled by a Foreign Billionaire

Oct. 2, 2017 (IEEFA) — New analysis by The Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA) finds that Adani’s Abbot Point Coal Terminal is excessively leveraged, promises negative shareholders equity, and runs the risk of becoming a stranded asset if Adani’s proposed Carmichael mine does not get the A$1 billion Australian taxpayer subsidy it […]

October 2, 2017 Read More →

Adani’s Tax-Supported Mine and Port Expansion on Thin Ice

Australian National Herald: An investigation by the ABC’s Four Corners programme has uncovered previously unknown tax haven ties for Adani Group’s Australian operations, with key assets ultimately owned in the British Virgin Islands. “Adani Group has promised a $22 billion windfall in taxes and mining royalty payments for Australia over the life of the giant […]

October 2, 2017 Read More →

IEEFA Australia: Adani Is in Scramble Mode

The Race to a Taxpayer-Funded Close Is On

As Adani gears up its political and media machine in a play to make it look like its proposed Carmichael mine in the Galilee Basin of Queensland is a go, it has a lot on the line. Much of its push for the project now is ego-driven—the company has invested enormous political capital in Carmichael, […]

September 8, 2017 Read More →

IEEFA Australia: Inadequate Transparency and Operational Processes Around A$900 Public Loan Proposal to Adani

Implicit Endorsement of Tax Havens in Northern Australia Infrastructure Facility’s Consideration; Weak Market Rationale for Project; ‘Not in the Wider Australian Public Interest’

Aug. 29, 2017 (IEEFA.org) — The Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis has submitted testimony to the Australian Senate noting serious deficiencies in how the Northern Australia Infrastructure Facility (NAIF) has managed its consideration of an A$900 million loan to subsidize construction of a rail link for the proposed Carmichael coal mine. IEEFA’s written testimony […]

August 29, 2017 Read More →

NAIF Inadequate Project Assessment and Failure of Public Interest Test

Submission to Senate Inquiry into the Governance and Operation of the Northern Australia Infrastructure Facility

Our research in the context of Adani calls into question the project assessment and approval process of the Northern Australia Infrastructure Facility (NAIF) as it relates to a A$900 million loan request as well as the adequacy of the NAIF’s tests for risk appetite and for whether a project is in the public interest. Full […]

August 23, 2017 Read More →

Fraud Case Detail Emerges Around Owner of Proposed Mega-Mine in Australia

The Guardian: A global mining giant seeking public funds to develop one of the world’s largest coal mines in Australia has been accused of fraudulently siphoning hundreds of millions of dollars of borrowed money into overseas tax havens. Indian conglomerate the Adani Group is expecting a legal decision in the “near future” in connection with […]

August 16, 2017 Read More →
IEEFA Australia: The Odds Against Adani’s Mega-Mine Are Growing
and

IEEFA Australia: The Odds Against Adani’s Mega-Mine Are Growing

Project Remains Unbankable and Cannot Proceed Without Government Subsidies

Last week’s news that Commonwealth Bank, Australia’s largest, has ruled out financing for the proposed Carmichael project because of the climate risk it comes with is but the latest in the long drip of events adding to the probability the mega-mine-and-rail complex will never be built. In fact our view has only hardened that Carmichael […]

On the Blogs: Coal Use Trends Continue to Drive Doubts on Adani Project in Australia

Macrobusiness Australia: The justification behind the proposed $1 billion concessional loan from Australian taxpayers to Adani to build the Carmichael coal project has taken another hit today with reports that India’s appetite for coal is waning. From The Australian: “In the last two years, coal consumption has slowed to its lowest level in two decades, […]

August 10, 2017 Read More →