New South Wales, Australia

IEEFA Research

IEEFA report: Past their peak, New South Wales coal export volumes head toward terminal decline as markets transition

NSW government must plan now for inevitable transition in local coal communities

Nov. 1,  2018, SYDNEY (IEEFA) – A report published today by the institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis sends an urgent message to the New South Wales government that, with coal export volumes having peaked and now facing a terminal long-term decline, transition preparations must be made for the coming decades to prepare businesses, […]

October 31, 2018 Read More →
IEEFA Australia: Hume Coal Proposal Will Be Left Behind as Energy Markets Move On

IEEFA Australia: Hume Coal Proposal Will Be Left Behind as Energy Markets Move On

New Coal Mine Makes Even Less Sense than It Did Last Year; Hume Will Find it Hard to Compete with Higher-Quality Coking Coal

Despite the significant increase in coking coal prices that began in late 2016, the proposed Hume Coal project in the Southern Highlands of New South Wales seems no more likely to proceed now than it did when IEEFA reviewed it ten months ago. Hume Coal, a subsidiary of South Korea’s largest steel maker POSCO, has […]

New IEEFA Report: ‘Sub-Critical Australia’ East Coast Grid Needs an Electricity Market Plan

SYDNEY 17 May 2016 (IEEFA.org) – Australia’s east coast electricity market currently faces a disorderly transition resulting in the potential for black-outs and poor social and environmental outcomes, according to ‘Sub-Critical Australia,’ a new report released today by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA). According to the report, Australia’s National Energy Market […]

May 16, 2016 Read More →
Report: Wollongong Coal Ltd’s Russell Vale Coal Mine A Likely Stranded Asset

Report: Wollongong Coal Ltd’s Russell Vale Coal Mine A Likely Stranded Asset

Wollongong Coal Ltd’s Russell Vale Coal Mine A Likely Stranded Asset (pdf)

December 18, 2015 Read More →
A White Elephant at Newcastle

A White Elephant at Newcastle

T4 Would be Redundant, and It Is Not in Australia’s National Interest

A proposal to build a fourth coal-export terminal in Newcastle, Australia, is about as big a boondoggle in the making as one can imagine. Even executives at Port Waratah Coal Services, the company that wants to erect the T4 facility are having trouble explaining the sense of the project. “T4 will only be built if […]

July 14, 2015 Read More →
Global Energy Markets Transition Drives Thermal Coal Into Structural Decline

Global Energy Markets Transition Drives Thermal Coal Into Structural Decline

New Research by IEEFA Sees Slowing Demand for Coal and Rapidly Rising Investment in Renewables CLEVELAND, Jan. 14, 2015 (IEEFA.org) — Rapid expansion of renewable energy combined with weakening electricity demand are driving a structural decline in seaborne thermal coal markets, according to a new briefing released today by the Institute for Energy Economics and […]

January 14, 2015 Read More →
Briefing note: The Narrabri Coal Seam Gas Project

Briefing note: The Narrabri Coal Seam Gas Project

Briefing note: The Narrabri Coal Seam Gas Project (pdf) By Tim Buckley, Director of Energy Finance Studies, Australasia

December 9, 2014 Read More →
Briefing note: The Outlook for Financing for Australia’s Galilee Basin Coal Proposals

Briefing note: The Outlook for Financing for Australia’s Galilee Basin Coal Proposals

Briefing note: The outlook for financing for Australia’s Galilee Basin coal proposals By: Tom Sanzillo, IEEFA Director of Finance

October 22, 2014 Read More →
Briefing note: Fossil fuels, energy transition & risk

Briefing note: Fossil fuels, energy transition & risk

 Briefing note: Fossil fuels, energy transition & risk (pdf)

June 5, 2014 Read More →

More News and Commentary

Developers push 4GW solar-wind-storage project in Australia

Renew Economy: Australian renewable energy developers Energy Estate and MirusWind are proposing to build a 4,000MW (4GW) wind, solar and storage facility in New South Wales that will be the biggest single renewable energy project in Australia’s main grid. Energy Estate founder Simon Currie – a former head of energy at legal firm Norton Rose […]

November 15, 2018 Read More →

New South Wales government plans transmission investments to boost wind, solar development

Reuters: Australia’s most populous state of New South Wales outlined plans on Monday to speed development of A$2.6 billion ($1.9 billion) worth of transmission capacity to hook up more wind and solar power. The move comes as renewable energy developers have run into problems lining up agreements to hook up new solar and wind farms […]

November 13, 2018 Read More →

IEEFA Australia: Thermal coal export sunset looming closer

Glencore failing investors in its latest forecasts

For more than a decade, the figures looked good. Australia’s thermal coal mining export industry was experiencing an unprecedented rise in the coal seaborne market. Up to 2015 the numbers were singing. Australia was leading the market as the world’s biggest exporter of coal. But then something happened. Australia’s thermal coal exports lost their momentum. […]

November 8, 2018 Read More →

IEEFA Australia: New South Wales needs a transition plan, not blind optimism, as coal export markets decline

Australia’s major customers, like Japan, are turning toward renewable energy; Prime Minister Shinzo Abe cites need to “reduce the use of fossil fuels”

IEEFA Australia  published a report this week showing that a permanent, long-term decline in New South Wales (NSW) thermal coal exports is on the horizon. We  examined the status of NSW coal export destinations and found the pipeline of new coal plants in major Asian markets experienced a 74% decline since 2015, with more contraction […]

November 1, 2018 Read More →

IEEFA report: Past their peak, New South Wales coal export volumes head toward terminal decline as markets transition

NSW government must plan now for inevitable transition in local coal communities

Nov. 1,  2018, SYDNEY (IEEFA) – A report published today by the institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis sends an urgent message to the New South Wales government that, with coal export volumes having peaked and now facing a terminal long-term decline, transition preparations must be made for the coming decades to prepare businesses, […]

October 31, 2018 Read More →

New South Wales government plans for end of coal generation

Renew Economy: The New South Wales Coalition government on Wednesday launched one of the most significant energy transition projects in Australia, with an Emerging Energy Program that is designed to help replace most of the state’s ageing coal plants with wind, solar and storage over the next 15 years. NSW is the only state in […]

October 31, 2018 Read More →

Australia Scales Down China Shenhua’s Expansion Plans

Rod McGuirk for the Associated Press: A state government said on Wednesday it would buy back most of a Chinese mining company’s coal exploration license for 262 million Australian dollars ($201 million) to help protect some of Australia’s most fertile farmland. The New South Wales state government said it would buy back 51.4 percent of […]

July 12, 2017 Read More →
IEEFA Australia: Hume Coal Proposal Will Be Left Behind as Energy Markets Move On

IEEFA Australia: Hume Coal Proposal Will Be Left Behind as Energy Markets Move On

New Coal Mine Makes Even Less Sense than It Did Last Year; Hume Will Find it Hard to Compete with Higher-Quality Coking Coal

Despite the significant increase in coking coal prices that began in late 2016, the proposed Hume Coal project in the Southern Highlands of New South Wales seems no more likely to proceed now than it did when IEEFA reviewed it ten months ago. Hume Coal, a subsidiary of South Korea’s largest steel maker POSCO, has […]

‘Shenhua buy back made easier by kill clause’

Jamieson Murphy for the Northern Daily Leader: BARGAINING POWER: The government is negotiating to get the Exploration Licence (black dotted line) to hug the project boundary (red line), but experts believe Shenhua may be open to a total buy back. WITH the kill clause in Shenhua’s contract fast approaching, the state government is in a powerful, but delicate, […]

October 20, 2016 Read More →
Australia’s East Coast Electricity Grid Is Over-Dependent on Sub-Critical Coal and in Need of Reform

Australia’s East Coast Electricity Grid Is Over-Dependent on Sub-Critical Coal and in Need of Reform

A report we’ve published today Sub-Critical Australia: Risks From Imbalance in the Australian National Electricity Market,” concludes that Australia’s outdated east coast electricity grid (NEM) is over-reliant on sub-critical generation and in need of modernizing. Our research shows that the National Electricity Market (NEM) in Australia is dominated by sub-critical electricity generators that are in […]