Galilee Basin, Queensland, AU

IEEFA Research

New IEEFA Report: ‘Sub-Critical Australia’ East Coast Grid Needs an Electricity Market Plan

SYDNEY 17 May 2016 (IEEFA.org) – Australia’s east coast electricity market currently faces a disorderly transition resulting in the potential for black-outs and poor social and environmental outcomes, according to ‘Sub-Critical Australia,’ a new report released today by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA). According to the report, Australia’s National Energy Market […]

Read More →
New IEEFA Report – Adani: Remote Prospects

New IEEFA Report – Adani: Remote Prospects

Obstacles to Adani’s Project in Australia Have Only Grown: The Strategic ‘Moment’ for Coal Mining in the Galilee Basin Has Passed; Public Investment Is Ill-Advised; Markets Will Not Support an Unbankable Development

Almost two years ago we published a review in which we raised doubts about the Adani Group’s proposed Carmichael coal mine in the Galilee Basin of Australia and the associated rail and port infrastructure development. The mine would ship coal through the port at Abbot Point in the Great Barrier Reef. Today we’ve published an […]

Read More →
Galilee Coal Basin: Carmichael – A Stranded Asset?

Galilee Coal Basin: Carmichael – A Stranded Asset?

Galilee Coal Basin: Carmichael – A Stranded Asset? By Tim Buckley, Director Energy Finance Studies, Australasia

Read More →
IEEFA Study: Corporate Restructuring at Adani Enterprises Enhances Shareholder Value; Marginalizes Australian Coal Project; Better Aligns Adani Group With Transformation of India’s Electricity Sector

IEEFA Study: Corporate Restructuring at Adani Enterprises Enhances Shareholder Value; Marginalizes Australian Coal Project; Better Aligns Adani Group With Transformation of India’s Electricity Sector

Proposed Development of Galilee Basin Project Will Become ‘Collateral Damage’

CLEVELAND, May 5, 2015 (IEEFA.org) — A report published today by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA) concludes that Adani Enterprises’ recent corporate restructuring better aligns its parent Adani Group with minority shareholders and with new opportunities emerging in the Indian electricity sector transformation. It concludes also that the restructuring—which vastly reduces […]

Read More →
Global Energy Markets Transition Drives Thermal Coal Into Structural Decline

Global Energy Markets Transition Drives Thermal Coal Into Structural Decline

New Research by IEEFA Sees Slowing Demand for Coal and Rapidly Rising Investment in Renewables CLEVELAND, Jan. 14, 2015 (IEEFA.org) — Rapid expansion of renewable energy combined with weakening electricity demand are driving a structural decline in seaborne thermal coal markets, according to a new briefing released today by the Institute for Energy Economics and […]

Read More →
Briefing note: The Narrabri Coal Seam Gas Project

Briefing note: The Narrabri Coal Seam Gas Project

Briefing note: The Narrabri Coal Seam Gas Project (pdf) By Tim Buckley, Director of Energy Finance Studies, Australasia

Read More →
Briefing note: The Outlook for Financing for Australia’s Galilee Basin Coal Proposals

Briefing note: The Outlook for Financing for Australia’s Galilee Basin Coal Proposals

Briefing note: The outlook for financing for Australia’s Galilee Basin coal proposals By: Tom Sanzillo, IEEFA Director of Finance

Read More →
Briefing note: Fossil fuels, energy transition & risk, July 2014

Briefing note: Fossil fuels, energy transition & risk, July 2014

Briefing note: Fossil fuels, energy transition & risk,  July 2014 (pdf) By Tim Buckley, Director of Energy Finance Studies, Australasia, IEEFA

Read More →
Briefing note: Fossil fuels, energy transition & risk

Briefing note: Fossil fuels, energy transition & risk

 Briefing note: Fossil fuels, energy transition & risk (pdf)

Read More →
Briefing note: Thermal coal outlook

Briefing note: Thermal coal outlook

Briefing note: Thermal coal outlook (pdf) By Tim Buckley,  Director of Energy Resource Studies, Australasia, IEEFA  

Read More →

More News and Commentary

and

IEEFA Update: Adani Has Gone Quiet on Its Australia Coal Mega-Project

Developer Lacks the Capacity to Go Forward on Carmichael

The latest quarterly financial report from Adani Enterprises Ltd. is illuminating in no small part for what it does not say. Adana is the company that for years has championed construction of the proposed Carmichael project in Australia, a multi-billion-dollar undertaking that would purport to supply coal to India. Yet the project gets no acknowledgement […]

Read More →
IEEFA Asia: More Bad Numbers for Adani; a Renewables Merger in India; Change of Note in China
and

IEEFA Asia: More Bad Numbers for Adani; a Renewables Merger in India; Change of Note in China

Why a Massive Proposed Coal Project Remains Unbankable

Adani Power Ltd reports another net loss—of US$48 million—in the three months through December. This puts the company as the proposed cornerstone customer in a plan to build the massive Adani Enterprises Carmichael coal project in Queensland on track for its fifth year of enormous losses since FY2012. The latest numbers highlight the strategic weakness of […]

Read More →

‘False Dawn’ for Mega Coal Project in Australia

Daryl Passmore for the Sunday Mail (Queensland): When Indian billionaire Gautam Adani flew in to Queensland this week in his $30 million private jet, it sent ripples of excitement and anticipation across the jobs-starved regions of the state. It is hard to overstate the vital importance of the Adani energy conglomerate’s $21.7 billion Carmichael mine, […]

Read More →

IEEFA Asia: Adani, in Latest Report to Investors, Skips Mention of Its Australian Coal Project

As Energy Markets Continue to Evolve, Less Likelihood Carmichael Mine Will Be Developed

Adani Enterprises Ltd—the 100 percent owner of Adani Mining Australia Pty Ltd, the entity that owns the massive Carmichael open-cut coal proposal—is reporting a net loss of US$11 million for the three months to September 2016. This comes on the back of a 33 percent year-on-year decline in operating profits and an 18 percent rise […]

Read More →

IEEFA Australia: The Zombie Australian Coal Project That Won’t Die

Adani’s Plans for Carmichael Are on Life Support, but Still Alive

The announcement this week by Queensland Mining Minister Anthony Lynham that the proposed open-cut Carmichael coal plan is considered a “prescribed project” is yet another reminder that you still can’t say for sure that Adani’s dreams for north Australia are dead. The strategic merit remains questionable, the quality of the coal the project would produce […]

Read More →

Carmichael Project: Downsized & Delayed Yet Again, and Still Unbankable

Thursday 22 September 2016: According to reports in today’s Australian Financial Review (AFR), the Carmichael coal proposal has been downsized again to 25 million tonnes per annum (Mtpa), and the investment decision deferred yet again till the end of 2017. “Despite being downsized and delayed once again, even at a much reduced US$4bn, the Carmichael […]

Read More →
IEEFA Australia: World’s Biggest Open-Cut Coal Proposal is Smaller Now, Less Ambitious, Still Unbankable

IEEFA Australia: World’s Biggest Open-Cut Coal Proposal is Smaller Now, Less Ambitious, Still Unbankable

Adani’s Fading Dream of a Vast New Mine in Queensland

Even after news this week that it is being downsized enormously—and delayed once again—Adani’s plan to build the biggest open-cut mine in the world remains wholly unbankable. The project, envisioned in 2010 as a $16 behemoth that would produce 60 million tonnes a year, is now being pitched by Adana as a $4 billion, 25 […]

Read More →

Adani Project Epitomizes ‘Frontline’ of High-Risk Coal Projects

Joshua Robertson for The Guardian: Miners seeking the green light to dig up Queensland’s Galilee basin should be stopped as a priority, according to a new report showing existing fossil fuels projects worldwide are enough to push global warming beyond 2C. The report by the research and advocacy group Oil Change International argues there is […]

Read More →

IEEFA Australia: Adani’s Carmichael Coal Project Remains Unbankable


The Market Math Does Not Add Up


All indications are that Adani’s long-persistent plans for its vast Carmichael coal-mine proposal in northern Australian remain unbankable. Here’s some tell-tale math: IEEFA estimates the cash cost of Carmichael product coal at A$33/t (A$27/t ROM coal with an 80% yield) plus $6/t for port, $10-15/t for rail ($10 if Adani owns the railway, $15/t if […]

Read More →

On the Blogs: Poor Transparency Around Australian Coal Project Suggests Taxpayer Risk

From BlueandGreenTomorrow.com: Ambiguity and opaque disclosures continue to dog the world’s largest proposed new thermal coal project – the Carmichael Coal proposal of India’s Adani Enterprises in the Galilee Basin of central Queensland. “Excessive financial leverage combines with complex offshore corporate structures, tax havens, government investigations into alleged multi-billion dollar over-invoicing plus new requests for […]

Read More →