Galilee Basin, Queensland, AU

IEEFA Research

IEEFA Update: An Increasingly Cursed Australian Coal Project

IEEFA Update: An Increasingly Cursed Australian Coal Project

Bad Financials, Weak Markets, Policy Headwinds, Social-License Issues, Transparency Questions, Climate Risk: The Many Afflictions Hobbling the Proposed Carmichael Mine

update on Adani’s long-festering coal mine project in northern Queensland that plumbs the depths of the Indian conglomerate’s financials and finds them vastly insufficient for the supposed job at hand. Our report— “Adani: Remote Prospect: Carmichael Status Update 2017”—follows on previous work we’ve done around what would be the biggest new coal mine in the […]

New IEEFA Report: ‘Sub-Critical Australia’ East Coast Grid Needs an Electricity Market Plan

SYDNEY 17 May 2016 (IEEFA.org) – Australia’s east coast electricity market currently faces a disorderly transition resulting in the potential for black-outs and poor social and environmental outcomes, according to ‘Sub-Critical Australia,’ a new report released today by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA). According to the report, Australia’s National Energy Market […]

May 16, 2016 Read More →
New IEEFA Report – Adani: Remote Prospects

New IEEFA Report – Adani: Remote Prospects

Obstacles to Adani’s Project in Australia Have Only Grown: The Strategic ‘Moment’ for Coal Mining in the Galilee Basin Has Passed; Public Investment Is Ill-Advised; Markets Will Not Support an Unbankable Development

Almost two years ago we published a review in which we raised doubts about the Adani Group’s proposed Carmichael coal mine in the Galilee Basin of Australia and the associated rail and port infrastructure development. The mine would ship coal through the port at Abbot Point in the Great Barrier Reef. Today we’ve published an […]

September 15, 2015 Read More →
Galilee Coal Basin: Carmichael – A Stranded Asset?

Galilee Coal Basin: Carmichael – A Stranded Asset?

Galilee Coal Basin: Carmichael – A Stranded Asset? By Tim Buckley, Director Energy Finance Studies, Australasia

May 19, 2015 Read More →
IEEFA Study: Corporate Restructuring at Adani Enterprises Enhances Shareholder Value; Marginalizes Australian Coal Project; Better Aligns Adani Group With Transformation of India’s Electricity Sector

IEEFA Study: Corporate Restructuring at Adani Enterprises Enhances Shareholder Value; Marginalizes Australian Coal Project; Better Aligns Adani Group With Transformation of India’s Electricity Sector

Proposed Development of Galilee Basin Project Will Become ‘Collateral Damage’

CLEVELAND, May 5, 2015 (IEEFA.org) — A report published today by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA) concludes that Adani Enterprises’ recent corporate restructuring better aligns its parent Adani Group with minority shareholders and with new opportunities emerging in the Indian electricity sector transformation. It concludes also that the restructuring—which vastly reduces […]

May 4, 2015 Read More →
Global Energy Markets Transition Drives Thermal Coal Into Structural Decline

Global Energy Markets Transition Drives Thermal Coal Into Structural Decline

New Research by IEEFA Sees Slowing Demand for Coal and Rapidly Rising Investment in Renewables CLEVELAND, Jan. 14, 2015 (IEEFA.org) — Rapid expansion of renewable energy combined with weakening electricity demand are driving a structural decline in seaborne thermal coal markets, according to a new briefing released today by the Institute for Energy Economics and […]

January 14, 2015 Read More →
Briefing note: The Narrabri Coal Seam Gas Project

Briefing note: The Narrabri Coal Seam Gas Project

Briefing note: The Narrabri Coal Seam Gas Project (pdf) By Tim Buckley, Director of Energy Finance Studies, Australasia

December 9, 2014 Read More →
Briefing note: The Outlook for Financing for Australia’s Galilee Basin Coal Proposals

Briefing note: The Outlook for Financing for Australia’s Galilee Basin Coal Proposals

Briefing note: The outlook for financing for Australia’s Galilee Basin coal proposals By: Tom Sanzillo, IEEFA Director of Finance

October 22, 2014 Read More →
Briefing note: Fossil fuels, energy transition & risk, July 2014

Briefing note: Fossil fuels, energy transition & risk, July 2014

Briefing note: Fossil fuels, energy transition & risk,  July 2014 (pdf) By Tim Buckley, Director of Energy Finance Studies, Australasia, IEEFA

July 21, 2014 Read More →
Briefing note: Fossil fuels, energy transition & risk

Briefing note: Fossil fuels, energy transition & risk

 Briefing note: Fossil fuels, energy transition & risk (pdf)

June 5, 2014 Read More →

More News and Commentary

On the Blogs: Coal Use Trends Continue to Drive Doubts on Adani Project in Australia

Macrobusiness Australia: The justification behind the proposed $1 billion concessional loan from Australian taxpayers to Adani to build the Carmichael coal project has taken another hit today with reports that India’s appetite for coal is waning. From The Australian: “In the last two years, coal consumption has slowed to its lowest level in two decades, […]

August 10, 2017 Read More →

IEEFA Australia: Adani’s ‘Pit-to-Plug Strategy’ Is Fraying at Both Ends

‘Defer, Delay and Pray’ Appear to Be the Unspoken New Watchwords for the Company That Would Build the Carmichael Coal Project

Gautam Adani, the chairman of the Indian conglomerate Adani Group, has long argued that the Carmichael coal proposal in the Galilee Basin of Australia is a key part of his company’s “integrated pit-to-plug strategy.” The Adani logic for the Carmichael project assumes that the traded price of seaborne thermal coal is irrelevant to the commercial […]

June 12, 2017 Read More →

IEEFA Australia: Adani Can’t Seem to Get the Public Subsidies It Requires for Its Carmichael Coal Project

Further Evidence That a Mine Proposal Is Unbankable

In saying that it has deferred its investment decision on its Australian Carmichael coal proposal because the Queensland Government hasn’t granted it yet another subsidy, Adani Enterprises is demonstrating once more that the project is unbankable. We’re not aware of a single private financial institution that has endorsed the proposal, which suggests to us that […]

May 23, 2017 Read More →

Pushback by Rival on Australian Subsidy to Indian-Owned Coal Conglomerate

Australia Financial Review: New Aurizon boss Andrew Harding gets a chance this week to remind the broader investment community that the debate about how to pay for a big new Queensland coal railway is more complicated that whether or not Commonwealth can see its way to lending $1 billion to an Indian billionaire. Adani has, […]

April 26, 2017 Read More →
IEEFA Update: An Increasingly Cursed Australian Coal Project
and

IEEFA Update: An Increasingly Cursed Australian Coal Project

Bad Financials, Weak Markets, Policy Headwinds, Social-License Issues, Transparency Questions, Climate Risk: The Many Afflictions Hobbling the Proposed Carmichael Mine

update on Adani’s long-festering coal mine project in northern Queensland that plumbs the depths of the Indian conglomerate’s financials and finds them vastly insufficient for the supposed job at hand. Our report— “Adani: Remote Prospect: Carmichael Status Update 2017”—follows on previous work we’ve done around what would be the biggest new coal mine in the […]

IEEFA Press Release: Adani’s Carmichael Idea Is More Unbankable Than Ever

‘A Feckless Entrepreneurial Scheme Equivalent to Those Last Seen in Australia in the 1980s

April 24, 2017 (IEEFA) — Mounting debt across the Adani Group suggests that the Indian conglomerate’s Carmichael mine proposal for northeast Australia has become an increasingly precarious house of cards, according to new report by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA). The report—“Adani: Remote Prospect: Carmichael Status Update 2017”—notes that Adani Enterprise […]

April 24, 2017 Read More →

Ignoring Market Glut, Australia Weighs $1 Billion Government Loan to Finance World’s Biggest Coal Mine

The Wall Street Journal: Australia’s government has indicated strong backing for a loan of almost 1 billion Australian dollars for Indian conglomerate Adani Group to build the world’s largest coal mine, despite projections of a global glut of the commodity and environmental concerns. The pair also discussed a possible loan from the A$5 billion Northern […]

April 11, 2017 Read More →

Little Demand Seen for More Australian Coal

Australia Financial Review: Mr Turnbull arrives in India at a pivotal stage in Adani’s marathon effort to have the thermal coal project approved, and at this stage of the game, few can do more to help Carmichael than Australia’s 29th prime minister. A loan through the government’s $5 billion Northern Australia Infrastructure Fund (NAIF) would […]

April 11, 2017 Read More →

Challenge to Australian Subsidies for Companies Seeking Coal Industry Expansion

The Guardian: A $1bn federal loan to builders of a railway line between the proposed Adani coalmine and the coast would be a direct breach of government policy, a legal group has claimed. Environmental Justice Australia has lodged a formal complaint with the Productivity Commission over the prospect of the Northern Australia Infrastructure Facility partially […]

April 6, 2017 Read More →
and

IEEFA Update: Adani Has Gone Quiet on Its Australia Coal Mega-Project

Developer Lacks the Capacity to Go Forward on Carmichael

The latest quarterly financial report from Adani Enterprises Ltd. is illuminating in no small part for what it does not say. Adani is the company that for years has championed construction of the proposed Carmichael project in Australia, a multi-billion-dollar undertaking that would purport to supply coal to India. Yet the project gets no acknowledgement […]

and February 17, 2017 Read More →